Brazil · Serie A

Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo

● LIVE 81' · 2:0

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

84% confidence

Cruzeiro 83.9% Draw 11.8% Sao Paulo 4.3%

Over 2.5 - 70% BTTS - 45%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

88%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

84%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 12%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Cruzeiro: 12 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12%

Exact-score model probability

Cruzeiro

W L W L W W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 12:9 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.5

Sao Paulo

L W L W L D

Form 2-1-3 Goals 5:7 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Cruzeiro win83.9%

Draw11.8%

Sao Paulo win4.3%

Over 1.5 goals88.3%

Over 2.5 goals70.2%

Over 3.5 goals49.0%

Both teams to score44.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Away (12)

89.1%

Over 1.5 Goals

87.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

86.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)94.7%

Draw No Bet - Home94.5%

Home or Away (12)89.1%

Home Win84.2%

Both Halves Over 0.569.6%

Goal in Both Halves69.6%

Draw or Away (X2)15.4%

Draw10.5%

Exactly 1 Goal9.6%

Draw No Bet - Away5.5%

Away Win4.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.0%

Over 1.5 Goals87.4%

Under 5.5 Goals84.4%

Under 4.5 Goals70.4%

Over 2.5 Goals69.9%

2-4 Goals57.8%

Under 3.5 Goals51.2%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Over 3.5 Goals48.8%

4+ Goals48.8%

1-3 Goals48.2%

3-4 Goals40.3%

2-3 Goals38.6%

Under 2.5 Goals30.1%

Over 4.5 Goals29.6%

1-2 Goals27.1%

Exactly 3 Goals21.1%

Exactly 2 Goals17.5%

Over 5.5 Goals15.6%

Under 1.5 Goals12.6%

Under 0.5 Goals3.0%

Exactly 0 Goals2.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)56.1%

Home Clean Sheet53.4%

Home Win to Nil50.7%

Away Team to Score46.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)43.9%

Away Clean Sheet4.9%

Away Win to Nil2.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.7%

Home Over 1.579.8%

Home Over 2.557.5%

Home 3+ Goals57.5%

Away Exactly 053.4%

Away Over 0.546.2%

Away Exactly 133.3%

Home Exactly 222.3%

Home Exactly 114.9%

Away Over 1.512.9%

Away Exactly 210.4%

Home Exactly 04.9%

Away Over 2.52.5%

Away 3+ Goals2.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home98.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)94.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home94.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)94.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)86.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away86.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)84.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)73.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away73.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)66.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home66.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)55.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away55.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)44.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home44.6%

Home to win by 3+44.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)33.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away33.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)25.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home25.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw21.5%

Home to win by 221.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw18.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.2%

Home to win by 118.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)15.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away15.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw13.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)12.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home12.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw7.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)5.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home5.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw3.8%

Away to win by 13.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.9%

Away to win by 20.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.2%

Away to win by 3+0.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.564.3%

Home & No BTTS50.7%

BTTS & Over 2.539.0%

Home & BTTS33.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.530.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.524.7%

Home & Under 2.519.9%

Draw & BTTS7.8%

Draw & Under 2.57.6%

BTTS & Under 2.55.0%

Draw & Over 2.52.9%

Away & Over 2.52.7%

Away & BTTS2.6%

Away & No BTTS2.3%

Away & Under 2.52.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.5%

HT Home Win64.8%

HT/FT Home/Home62.3%

HT Under 1.551.4%

HT Over 1.548.6%

2nd Half More Goals46.5%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Draw27.7%

Equal Goals Each Half21.5%

HT Under 0.519.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.5%

HT Both Teams Score18.2%

HT Away Win7.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.2%

HT/FT Away/Home2.9%

HT/FT Away/Away2.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.0%

HT/FT Home/Away0.4%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners82.5%

Under 10.5 Corners73.3%

Under 9.5 Corners61.8%

Away Most Corners51.7%

Over 8.5 Corners51.3%

Away Over 4.5 Corners50.5%

Under 8.5 Corners48.7%

Home Over 4.5 Corners38.4%

Over 9.5 Corners38.2%

Home Most Corners35.0%

Over 10.5 Corners26.7%

Over 11.5 Corners17.5%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards81.1%

Over 2.5 Cards73.6%

Under 4.5 Cards66.1%

Over 3.5 Cards53.3%

Under 3.5 Cards46.7%

Over 4.5 Cards33.9%

Under 2.5 Cards26.4%

Over 5.5 Cards18.9%

Over 0.5 Red Cards15.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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