UEFA Europa League

Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim

Kick-off 18:45 · Thu, Nov 5

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

69% confidence

Crystal Palace 68.9% Draw 13.0% 1899 Hoffenheim 18.1%

Over 2.5 - 96% BTTS - 90%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

90%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

87%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-2 at 5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to 1899 Hoffenheim: 4 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Crystal Palace

L L L W D L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 5:13 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 2.17

1899 Hoffenheim

L W W L L W

Form 3-0-3 Goals 10:10 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Crystal Palace win68.9%

Draw13.0%

1899 Hoffenheim win18.1%

Over 1.5 goals99.3%

Over 2.5 goals96.4%

Over 3.5 goals90.4%

Both teams to score90.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

91.1%

Home Over 1.5

89.6%

Away Team to Score

88.3%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.593.0%

Goal in Both Halves93.0%

Home or Away (12)84.3%

Draw No Bet - Home79.1%

Home or Draw (1X)79.0%

Home Win66.7%

Draw or Away (X2)29.9%

Draw No Bet - Away20.9%

Away Win17.6%

Draw12.3%

Exactly 1 Goal0.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.5%

Over 1.5 Goals95.7%

Over 2.5 Goals93.1%

Over 3.5 Goals87.3%

4+ Goals87.3%

Over 4.5 Goals77.3%

Over 5.5 Goals63.8%

Total Goals Odd48.3%

Total Goals Even48.3%

Under 5.5 Goals36.2%

Under 4.5 Goals22.7%

2-4 Goals18.4%

3-4 Goals15.8%

Under 3.5 Goals12.7%

1-3 Goals9.2%

2-3 Goals8.4%

Under 2.5 Goals6.9%

Exactly 3 Goals5.9%

Under 1.5 Goals4.3%

Under 0.5 Goals3.5%

1-2 Goals3.3%

Exactly 2 Goals2.6%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.3%

Away Team to Score88.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)87.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)12.9%

Home Clean Sheet8.3%

Home Win to Nil8.1%

Away Clean Sheet1.3%

Away Win to Nil1.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.3%

Home Over 1.589.6%

Away Over 0.588.3%

Home Over 2.577.3%

Home 3+ Goals77.3%

Away Over 1.568.0%

Away Over 2.543.0%

Away 3+ Goals43.0%

Away Exactly 225.0%

Away Exactly 120.3%

Home Exactly 212.3%

Away Exactly 08.3%

Home Exactly 15.7%

Home Exactly 01.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)91.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)87.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home87.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)84.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away84.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)79.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home79.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)74.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away74.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)66.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)60.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away60.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)51.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home51.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)44.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away44.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)36.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home36.3%

Home to win by 3+36.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)29.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away29.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)22.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home22.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)17.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.5%

Home to win by 215.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.0%

Home to win by 115.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)12.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home12.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)9.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away9.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.5%

Away to win by 18.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw6.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)5.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home5.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.0%

Away to win by 25.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.1%

Away to win by 3+4.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.585.9%

Home & Over 2.565.2%

Home & BTTS58.6%

Away & Over 2.517.0%

Away & BTTS16.4%

Draw & BTTS12.1%

Draw & Over 2.510.9%

Home & No BTTS8.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.52.3%

Home & Under 2.51.5%

Draw & Under 2.51.3%

Away & No BTTS1.2%

BTTS & Under 2.51.2%

Away & Under 2.50.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.595.3%

HT Over 1.580.9%

HT Both Teams Score57.4%

HT Home Win56.9%

2nd Half More Goals52.5%

HT/FT Home/Home50.3%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw21.8%

HT Away Win21.2%

HT Under 1.519.1%

Equal Goals Each Half15.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.2%

HT/FT Away/Away10.6%

HT/FT Away/Home6.5%

HT Under 0.54.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Away2.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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