England · Premier League

Crystal Palace vs Ipswich

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Sep 12

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

66% confidence

Crystal Palace 66.0% Draw 21.2% Ipswich 12.7%

Over 2.5 - 95% BTTS - 83%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

87%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

83%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.33 goals scored per match.

Head-to-head record: Crystal Palace 2 wins, 0 draws, Ipswich 0 wins in the last 2 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Crystal Palace

W W L L W L

Form 3-0-3 Goals 9:10 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.67

Ipswich

L L W W W L

Form 3-0-3 Goals 11:12 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2

Head to head · last 2

Crystal Palace 2wins ·0 draws ·Ipswich 0wins

Crystal Palace 1-0 IpswichMar 8, 2025

Crystal Palace 1-0 IpswichDec 3, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Crystal Palace win66.0%

Draw21.2%

Ipswich win12.7%

Over 1.5 goals80.9%

Over 2.5 goals94.9%

Over 3.5 goals35.1%

Both teams to score83.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

89.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

89.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

89.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)89.3%

Draw No Bet - Home88.4%

Home or Away (12)86.9%

Both Halves Over 0.579.2%

Goal in Both Halves79.2%

Home Win76.8%

Draw or Away (X2)22.5%

Draw12.5%

Draw No Bet - Away11.6%

Away Win10.1%

Exactly 1 Goal5.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.2%

Over 1.5 Goals93.1%

Over 2.5 Goals81.6%

Under 5.5 Goals71.5%

Over 3.5 Goals64.6%

4+ Goals64.6%

Under 4.5 Goals54.5%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

2-4 Goals47.5%

Over 4.5 Goals45.5%

3-4 Goals36.1%

Under 3.5 Goals35.4%

1-3 Goals33.6%

Over 5.5 Goals28.5%

2-3 Goals28.5%

Under 2.5 Goals18.4%

Exactly 3 Goals17.1%

1-2 Goals16.6%

Exactly 2 Goals11.4%

Under 1.5 Goals6.9%

Under 0.5 Goals1.8%

Exactly 0 Goals1.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.6%

Away Team to Score69.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)66.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)33.4%

Home Clean Sheet30.1%

Home Win to Nil29.0%

Away Clean Sheet3.8%

Away Win to Nil2.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.6%

Home Over 1.583.2%

Away Over 0.569.2%

Home Over 2.562.9%

Home 3+ Goals62.9%

Away Exactly 135.9%

Away Over 1.533.3%

Away Exactly 030.1%

Away Exactly 221.4%

Home Exactly 220.3%

Home Exactly 112.4%

Away Over 2.511.8%

Away 3+ Goals11.8%

Home Exactly 03.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)94.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)89.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home89.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)87.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away87.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)76.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)76.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away76.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)59.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away59.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)59.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home59.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)40.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away40.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)39.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home39.7%

Home to win by 3+39.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)23.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home23.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)22.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away22.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.3%

Home to win by 219.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.8%

Home to win by 117.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)11.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home11.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw11.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)10.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw6.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw6.5%

Away to win by 16.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)5.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home5.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.6%

Away to win by 22.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.1%

Away to win by 3+1.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.566.9%

BTTS & Over 2.562.1%

Home & BTTS47.8%

Home & No BTTS29.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.519.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.513.2%

Draw & BTTS11.3%

Home & Under 2.59.9%

Away & Over 2.57.9%

Away & BTTS7.5%

Draw & Over 2.56.8%

Draw & Under 2.55.6%

BTTS & Under 2.54.5%

Away & No BTTS2.6%

Away & Under 2.52.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.6%

HT Home Win60.3%

HT Over 1.559.7%

HT/FT Home/Home55.9%

2nd Half More Goals48.6%

HT Under 1.540.3%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Both Teams Score32.0%

HT Draw26.3%

Equal Goals Each Half19.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.1%

HT Away Win13.4%

HT Under 0.513.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.8%

HT/FT Away/Away5.6%

HT/FT Away/Home4.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.3%

HT/FT Home/Away1.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions