England · Premier League

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle

Full time · 0:2

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

37% confidence

Crystal Palace 37.4% Draw 26.4% Newcastle 36.2%

Over 2.5 - 93% BTTS - 85%

✓ Pick was correct (0:2)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

85%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Crystal Palace: 10 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.6%

Exact-score model probability

Crystal Palace

L W D L W W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 11:11 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.83

Newcastle

L L W L W D

Form 2-1-3 Goals 7:12 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 2

Head to head · last 5

Crystal Palace 2wins ·1 draws ·Newcastle 2wins

Crystal Palace 2-1 NewcastleApr 12, 2026

Crystal Palace 0-2 NewcastleJan 4, 2026

Crystal Palace 0-5 NewcastleApr 16, 2025

Crystal Palace 1-1 NewcastleNov 30, 2024

Crystal Palace 2-0 NewcastleApr 24, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Crystal Palace win37.4%

Draw26.4%

Newcastle win36.2%

Over 1.5 goals81.0%

Over 2.5 goals92.5%

Over 3.5 goals35.1%

Both teams to score85.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

91.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

91.0%

HT Over 0.5

88.4%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.582.1%

Goal in Both Halves82.1%

Home or Away (12)81.6%

Home or Draw (1X)69.3%

Draw No Bet - Home62.6%

Home Win51.1%

Draw or Away (X2)48.7%

Draw No Bet - Away37.4%

Away Win30.5%

Draw18.2%

Exactly 1 Goal4.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.9%

Over 1.5 Goals95.0%

Over 2.5 Goals85.4%

Over 3.5 Goals70.2%

4+ Goals70.2%

Under 5.5 Goals65.5%

Over 4.5 Goals52.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 4.5 Goals48.0%

2-4 Goals43.0%

Over 5.5 Goals34.5%

3-4 Goals33.5%

Under 3.5 Goals29.8%

1-3 Goals28.7%

2-3 Goals24.8%

Exactly 3 Goals15.2%

Under 2.5 Goals14.6%

1-2 Goals13.5%

Exactly 2 Goals9.5%

Under 1.5 Goals5.0%

Under 0.5 Goals1.1%

Exactly 0 Goals0.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.0%

Away Team to Score87.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)81.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)18.4%

Home Clean Sheet12.2%

Home Win to Nil11.4%

Away Clean Sheet6.8%

Away Win to Nil6.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.0%

Away Over 0.587.6%

Home Over 1.574.7%

Away Over 1.561.9%

Home Over 2.550.2%

Home 3+ Goals50.2%

Away Over 2.534.9%

Away 3+ Goals34.9%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 125.7%

Home Exactly 224.6%

Home Exactly 118.3%

Away Exactly 012.2%

Home Exactly 06.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)91.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away91.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)83.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home83.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)81.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away81.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)69.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home69.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)67.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away67.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)51.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)48.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away48.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)32.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home32.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)30.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.3%

Home to win by 118.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)18.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home18.2%

Home to win by 3+18.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)16.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away16.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.6%

Home to win by 214.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.3%

Away to win by 114.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.9%

Away to win by 28.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)8.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home8.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)7.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away7.4%

Away to win by 3+7.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.576.9%

Home & Over 2.545.8%

Home & BTTS39.7%

Away & Over 2.526.9%

Away & BTTS24.6%

Draw & BTTS17.3%

Draw & Over 2.512.7%

Home & No BTTS11.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.59.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.5%

Away & No BTTS6.0%

Draw & Under 2.55.5%

Home & Under 2.55.2%

BTTS & Under 2.54.7%

Away & Under 2.53.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.4%

HT Over 1.563.4%

2nd Half More Goals49.2%

HT Both Teams Score42.9%

HT Home Win42.1%

HT Under 1.536.6%

HT/FT Home/Home33.5%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw29.1%

HT Away Win28.7%

HT/FT Away/Away18.6%

Equal Goals Each Half18.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.0%

HT Under 0.511.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away3.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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