England · Premier League

Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest

Kick-off 14:00 · Sun, Oct 11

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

37% confidence

Crystal Palace 36.6% Draw 30.5% Nottingham Forest 32.9%

Over 2.5 - 93% BTTS - 87%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

87%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

70%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Crystal Palace: 7 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Crystal Palace 0 wins, 4 draws, Nottingham Forest 1 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.6%

Exact-score model probability

Crystal Palace

D L W W L L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 9:11 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.83

Nottingham Forest

L W D D L L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 4:7 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 5

Crystal Palace 0wins ·4 draws ·Nottingham Forest 1wins

Crystal Palace 1-1 Nottingham ForestFeb 1, 2026

Crystal Palace 1-1 Nottingham ForestAug 24, 2025

Crystal Palace 1-1 Nottingham ForestMay 5, 2025

Crystal Palace 0-1 Nottingham ForestOct 21, 2024

Crystal Palace 1-1 Nottingham ForestMar 30, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Crystal Palace win36.6%

Draw30.5%

Nottingham Forest win32.9%

Over 1.5 goals70.3%

Over 2.5 goals93.3%

Over 3.5 goals21.9%

Both teams to score87.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

89.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

89.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

88.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)81.7%

Both Halves Over 0.578.2%

Goal in Both Halves78.2%

Home or Draw (1X)75.7%

Draw No Bet - Home70.4%

Home Win57.6%

Draw or Away (X2)42.3%

Draw No Bet - Away29.6%

Away Win24.2%

Draw18.1%

Exactly 1 Goal5.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.6%

Over 1.5 Goals93.0%

Over 2.5 Goals80.9%

Under 5.5 Goals72.7%

Over 3.5 Goals63.3%

4+ Goals63.3%

Under 4.5 Goals55.9%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

2-4 Goals48.9%

Over 4.5 Goals44.1%

3-4 Goals36.8%

Under 3.5 Goals36.7%

1-3 Goals35.2%

2-3 Goals29.7%

Over 5.5 Goals27.3%

Under 2.5 Goals19.1%

Exactly 3 Goals17.6%

1-2 Goals17.6%

Exactly 2 Goals12.1%

Under 1.5 Goals7.0%

Under 0.5 Goals1.4%

Exactly 0 Goals1.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score92.8%

Away Team to Score81.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)76.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)23.9%

Home Clean Sheet17.9%

Home Win to Nil16.6%

Away Clean Sheet7.1%

Away Win to Nil5.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.592.8%

Away Over 0.581.9%

Home Over 1.574.0%

Away Over 1.551.2%

Home Over 2.549.2%

Home 3+ Goals49.2%

Away Exactly 130.8%

Away Exactly 226.4%

Home Exactly 224.8%

Away Over 2.524.7%

Away 3+ Goals24.7%

Home Exactly 118.7%

Away Exactly 017.9%

Home Exactly 07.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)89.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away89.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)78.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away78.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)75.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home75.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)61.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away61.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)57.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)42.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away42.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)38.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home38.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)24.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)21.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home21.5%

Home to win by 3+21.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.6%

Home to win by 119.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.5%

Home to win by 216.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.7%

Away to win by 112.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)10.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home10.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.9%

Away to win by 26.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.5%

Away to win by 3+4.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.570.4%

Home & Over 2.549.8%

Home & BTTS40.9%

Away & Over 2.520.1%

Away & BTTS18.4%

Draw & BTTS16.8%

Home & No BTTS16.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.513.1%

Draw & Over 2.511.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.6%

Home & Under 2.57.8%

Draw & Under 2.57.0%

Away & No BTTS5.8%

BTTS & Under 2.55.8%

Away & Under 2.54.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.0%

HT Over 1.558.5%

2nd Half More Goals48.4%

HT Home Win45.8%

HT Under 1.541.5%

HT/FT Home/Home38.3%

HT Both Teams Score37.5%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw30.2%

HT Away Win23.9%

Equal Goals Each Half19.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.8%

HT/FT Away/Away14.3%

HT Under 0.514.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Away/Home4.6%

HT/FT Home/Away2.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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