Russia · Premier League

CSKA Moscow vs Fakel

Kick-off 14:15 · Sat, Aug 15

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

69% confidence

CSKA Moscow 69.4% Draw 17.5% Fakel 13.1%

Over 2.5 - 75% BTTS - 66%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.7%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to CSKA Moscow: 11 points versus 1 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.7%

Exact-score model probability

CSKA Moscow

D D W W W L

Form 3-2-1 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.17

Fakel

D L L

Form 0-1-2 Goals 3:5 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

CSKA Moscow win69.4%

Draw17.5%

Fakel win13.1%

Over 1.5 goals91.2%

Over 2.5 goals75.3%

Over 3.5 goals55.5%

Both teams to score65.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

90.2%

Home or Draw (1X)

85.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

85.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)85.9%

Home or Away (12)84.0%

Draw No Bet - Home83.5%

Both Halves Over 0.573.6%

Goal in Both Halves73.6%

Home Win70.1%

Draw or Away (X2)29.7%

Draw No Bet - Away16.5%

Draw15.8%

Away Win13.9%

Exactly 1 Goal7.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.8%

Over 1.5 Goals90.2%

Under 5.5 Goals79.6%

Over 2.5 Goals75.2%

Under 4.5 Goals64.1%

Over 3.5 Goals55.4%

4+ Goals55.4%

2-4 Goals54.4%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals44.6%

1-3 Goals42.5%

3-4 Goals39.3%

Over 4.5 Goals35.9%

2-3 Goals34.8%

Under 2.5 Goals24.8%

1-2 Goals22.7%

Over 5.5 Goals20.4%

Exactly 3 Goals19.8%

Exactly 2 Goals15.0%

Under 1.5 Goals9.8%

Under 0.5 Goals2.2%

Exactly 0 Goals1.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.4%

Away Team to Score69.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)64.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)35.1%

Home Clean Sheet30.4%

Home Win to Nil28.5%

Away Clean Sheet6.3%

Away Win to Nil4.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.4%

Home Over 1.576.0%

Away Over 0.569.3%

Home Over 2.551.9%

Home 3+ Goals51.9%

Away Exactly 136.1%

Away Over 1.533.2%

Away Exactly 030.4%

Home Exactly 224.1%

Away Exactly 221.4%

Home Exactly 117.5%

Away Over 2.511.7%

Away 3+ Goals11.7%

Home Exactly 06.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)92.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away92.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)85.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home85.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)84.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away84.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)70.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)69.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away69.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)50.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away50.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)49.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home49.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)30.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home30.2%

Home to win by 3+30.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)29.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away29.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.4%

Home to win by 120.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.5%

Home to win by 219.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)15.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home15.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)13.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.8%

Away to win by 18.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)7.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home7.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.6%

Away to win by 23.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.5%

Away to win by 3+1.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.558.6%

Home & Over 2.557.4%

Home & BTTS41.6%

Home & No BTTS28.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.518.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.516.6%

Draw & BTTS13.8%

Home & Under 2.512.7%

Away & Over 2.510.2%

Away & BTTS9.5%

Draw & Under 2.58.3%

Draw & Over 2.57.5%

BTTS & Under 2.56.3%

Away & No BTTS4.4%

Away & Under 2.53.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.583.1%

HT Home Win53.9%

HT Over 1.553.0%

HT/FT Home/Home48.6%

2nd Half More Goals47.4%

HT Under 1.547.0%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Draw30.2%

HT Both Teams Score29.4%

Equal Goals Each Half20.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.6%

HT Under 0.516.9%

HT Away Win16.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.8%

HT/FT Away/Away7.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.8%

HT/FT Away/Home4.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Away1.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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