Russia · Premier League

CSKA Moscow vs FC Rostov

Kick-off 18:30 · Sat, Aug 8

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

48% confidence

CSKA Moscow 35.6% Draw 16.7% FC Rostov 47.7%

Over 2.5 - 95% BTTS - 92%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 29%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-3 at 5%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to CSKA Moscow: 10 points versus 9 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.80 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

29%

Market does not fully agree

CSKA Moscow

D W W W L

Form 3-1-1 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.8 Conceded/game 1.4

FC Rostov

W L L W W

Form 3-0-2 Goals 10:7 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.4

🏥 CSKA Moscow unavailable

I. Akinfeev · Muscle Injury

M. Voronov · Knee Injury

🏥 FC Rostov unavailable

E. Golenkov · Inactive

📈 Probability Breakdown

CSKA Moscow win35.6%

Draw16.7%

FC Rostov win47.7%

Over 1.5 goals98.9%

Over 2.5 goals95.1%

Over 3.5 goals87.5%

Both teams to score91.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Halves Over 0.5

91.4%

Goal in Both Halves

91.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)

90.5%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.591.4%

Goal in Both Halves91.4%

Home or Away (12)82.9%

Draw or Away (X2)63.4%

Draw No Bet - Away57.2%

Home or Draw (1X)51.5%

Away Win47.4%

Draw No Bet - Home42.8%

Home Win35.5%

Draw16.0%

Exactly 1 Goal1.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.7%

Over 1.5 Goals97.6%

Over 2.5 Goals94.0%

Over 3.5 Goals86.5%

4+ Goals86.5%

Over 4.5 Goals74.6%

Over 5.5 Goals59.6%

Total Goals Odd49.4%

Total Goals Even49.4%

Under 5.5 Goals40.4%

Under 4.5 Goals25.4%

2-4 Goals22.9%

3-4 Goals19.4%

Under 3.5 Goals13.5%

1-3 Goals12.2%

2-3 Goals11.0%

Exactly 3 Goals7.5%

Under 2.5 Goals6.0%

1-2 Goals4.7%

Exactly 2 Goals3.5%

Under 1.5 Goals2.4%

Under 0.5 Goals1.3%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.4%

Home Team to Score93.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)90.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)9.5%

Away Clean Sheet5.1%

Away Win to Nil4.9%

Home Clean Sheet3.4%

Home Win to Nil3.3%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.4%

Home Over 0.593.8%

Away Over 1.583.9%

Home Over 1.578.7%

Away Over 2.564.4%

Away 3+ Goals64.4%

Home Over 2.556.2%

Home 3+ Goals56.2%

Home Exactly 222.4%

Away Exactly 219.5%

Home Exactly 115.1%

Away Exactly 111.5%

Home Exactly 05.1%

Away Exactly 03.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)94.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home94.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)93.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away93.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)89.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home89.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)87.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away87.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)80.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home80.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)77.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away77.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)67.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home67.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)63.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away63.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)51.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home51.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)47.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)35.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)31.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away31.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)21.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home21.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)18.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away18.9%

Away to win by 3+18.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.6%

Away to win by 115.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.8%

Home to win by 113.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.9%

Away to win by 212.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)11.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home11.7%

Home to win by 3+11.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.0%

Home to win by 210.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)9.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away9.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw9.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away4.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.7%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.588.8%

Away & Over 2.545.8%

Away & BTTS42.5%

Home & Over 2.534.2%

Home & BTTS32.2%

Draw & BTTS15.8%

Draw & Over 2.514.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.55.3%

Away & No BTTS4.9%

Home & No BTTS3.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.53.1%

Draw & Under 2.51.9%

BTTS & Under 2.51.8%

Away & Under 2.51.6%

Home & Under 2.51.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.594.2%

HT Over 1.577.8%

HT Both Teams Score57.5%

2nd Half More Goals51.9%

HT Away Win41.6%

HT Home Win33.5%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT/FT Away/Away31.8%

HT Draw24.9%

HT/FT Home/Home22.7%

HT Under 1.522.2%

Equal Goals Each Half15.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.6%

HT Under 0.55.8%

HT/FT Home/Away5.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Away/Home4.5%

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

CSKA Moscow

I. Akinfeev Muscle Injury

M. Voronov Knee Injury

FC Rostov

E. Golenkov Inactive

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

CSKA Moscow win45%

Draw45%

FC Rostov win10%

AdviceDouble chance : CSKA Moscow or draw

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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