Russia · Premier League

CSKA Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov

Kick-off 14:15 · Sat, Aug 1

📊 Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

78% confidence

CSKA Moscow 25.0% Draw 22.0% Krylia Sovetov 53.0%

Over 2.5 - 78% BTTS - 76%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

High scoring teams

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 45%

⚠️ AIs disagree

64%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score (GG)

BTTS rate high

80%

Away Win

Krylia Sovetov stronger

75%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

CSKA Moscow and Krylia Sovetov have a significant form gap, with Krylia Sovetov having a stronger away record. CSKA Moscow's attacking threat is led by their home scoring rate, while Krylia Sovetov's defensive strength is evident in their low conceding rate. The absence of key players like Ivan Zaytsev may impact CSKA Moscow. With a high BTTS rate and over 2.5 goals probability, the match is expected to be open. 5 Goals is the strongest pick due to the teams' scoring tendencies.

💡

Top Tip

Over 2

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Both Teams to Score is rated at 75.8% by the model, supported by each side's recent scoring profile.

High scoring teams

Recent form leans to CSKA Moscow: 9 points versus 7 across the last 4 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS probability

75.8%

Both teams to score

CSKA Moscow BTTS

100%

Across recent matches

Krylia Sovetov BTTS

50%

Across recent matches

Bookmaker implied chance

45%

Market does not fully agree

CSKA Moscow

W W W L

Form 3-0-1 Goals 8:6 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.5

Krylia Sovetov

D W L W

Form 2-1-1 Goals 6:3 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.75

📈 Probability Breakdown

CSKA Moscow win25.0%

Draw22.0%

Krylia Sovetov win53.0%

Over 1.5 goals92.6%

Over 2.5 goals78.0%

Over 3.5 goals59.0%

Both teams to score75.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

92.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

92.0%

Over 1.5 Goals

91.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.5%

Both Halves Over 0.575.6%

Goal in Both Halves75.6%

Draw or Away (X2)72.3%

Draw No Bet - Away65.7%

Away Win52.9%

Home or Draw (1X)47.0%

Draw No Bet - Home34.3%

Home Win27.6%

Draw19.4%

Exactly 1 Goal6.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.3%

Over 1.5 Goals91.6%

Over 2.5 Goals77.9%

Under 5.5 Goals76.6%

Under 4.5 Goals60.5%

Over 3.5 Goals59.0%

4+ Goals59.0%

2-4 Goals52.2%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals41.0%

Over 4.5 Goals39.5%

1-3 Goals39.3%

3-4 Goals38.4%

2-3 Goals32.7%

Over 5.5 Goals23.4%

Under 2.5 Goals22.1%

1-2 Goals20.4%

Exactly 3 Goals18.9%

Exactly 2 Goals13.8%

Under 1.5 Goals8.4%

Under 0.5 Goals1.7%

Exactly 0 Goals1.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score90.8%

Home Team to Score82.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)74.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)25.4%

Away Clean Sheet17.8%

Away Win to Nil16.2%

Home Clean Sheet9.1%

Home Win to Nil7.5%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.590.8%

Home Over 0.582.1%

Away Over 1.569.1%

Home Over 1.551.4%

Away Over 2.542.9%

Away 3+ Goals42.9%

Home Exactly 130.7%

Home Exactly 226.5%

Away Exactly 226.1%

Home Over 2.524.9%

Home 3+ Goals24.9%

Away Exactly 121.8%

Home Exactly 017.8%

Away Exactly 09.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)94.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away94.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)92.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home92.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)86.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away86.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)82.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home82.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)72.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away72.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)66.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home66.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)52.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)47.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home47.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)33.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away33.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)27.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.8%

Away to win by 119.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)17.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away17.6%

Away to win by 3+17.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.5%

Away to win by 215.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.2%

Home to win by 114.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)13.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home13.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw9.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw8.0%

Home to win by 28.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)7.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away7.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)5.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home5.4%

Home to win by 3+5.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.568.0%

Away & Over 2.544.3%

Away & BTTS36.7%

Home & Over 2.522.4%

Home & BTTS20.2%

Draw & BTTS17.8%

Away & No BTTS16.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.515.3%

Draw & Over 2.511.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.9%

Away & Under 2.58.5%

Draw & Under 2.58.3%

Home & No BTTS7.5%

BTTS & Under 2.56.7%

Home & Under 2.55.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.4%

HT Over 1.555.4%

2nd Half More Goals47.8%

HT Under 1.544.6%

HT Away Win42.3%

HT Both Teams Score35.7%

HT/FT Away/Away34.3%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw31.7%

HT Home Win26.0%

Equal Goals Each Half20.0%

HT/FT Home/Home16.4%

HT Under 0.515.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Away4.3%

HT/FT Away/Home2.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions