Russia · Premier League

CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv

Kick-off 18:15 · Sat, Aug 22

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

72% confidence

CSKA Moscow 71.8% Draw 17.7% Lokomotiv 10.5%

Over 2.5 - 69% BTTS - 57%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ AIs disagree

66%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 9.8%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to CSKA Moscow: 14 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.8%

Exact-score model probability

CSKA Moscow

W D D W W W

Form 4-2-0 Goals 9:4 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.67

Lokomotiv

D D L D L W

Form 1-3-2 Goals 5:7 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 1

CSKA Moscow 1wins ·0 draws ·Lokomotiv 0wins

CSKA Moscow 3-1 LokomotivMay 17, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

CSKA Moscow win71.8%

Draw17.7%

Lokomotiv win10.5%

Over 1.5 goals87.7%

Over 2.5 goals68.5%

Over 3.5 goals47.0%

Both teams to score57.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

88.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

88.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

88.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)88.4%

Draw No Bet - Home86.4%

Home or Away (12)84.1%

Home Win72.6%

Both Halves Over 0.568.2%

Goal in Both Halves68.2%

Draw or Away (X2)27.2%

Draw15.8%

Draw No Bet - Away13.6%

Away Win11.4%

Exactly 1 Goal10.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.9%

Over 1.5 Goals86.6%

Under 5.5 Goals85.5%

Under 4.5 Goals72.0%

Over 2.5 Goals68.4%

2-4 Goals58.7%

Under 3.5 Goals53.1%

Total Goals Even50.0%

1-3 Goals50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals46.9%

4+ Goals46.9%

3-4 Goals40.4%

2-3 Goals39.7%

Under 2.5 Goals31.6%

1-2 Goals28.5%

Over 4.5 Goals28.0%

Exactly 3 Goals21.5%

Exactly 2 Goals18.2%

Over 5.5 Goals14.5%

Under 1.5 Goals13.4%

Under 0.5 Goals3.1%

Exactly 0 Goals2.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score92.4%

Away Team to Score61.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)56.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)43.6%

Home Clean Sheet38.9%

Home Win to Nil36.0%

Away Clean Sheet7.5%

Away Win to Nil4.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.592.4%

Home Over 1.572.9%

Away Over 0.561.0%

Home Over 2.547.8%

Home 3+ Goals47.8%

Away Exactly 038.9%

Away Exactly 136.7%

Home Exactly 225.2%

Away Over 1.524.3%

Home Exactly 119.4%

Away Exactly 217.3%

Home Exactly 07.5%

Away Over 2.57.0%

Away 3+ Goals7.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)88.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home88.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)84.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away84.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)72.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)69.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away69.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)51.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home51.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)48.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away48.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)30.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home30.5%

Home to win by 3+30.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)27.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away27.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.4%

Home to win by 121.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.7%

Home to win by 220.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)15.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home15.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)11.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.8%

Away to win by 17.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)6.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home6.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.7%

Away to win by 22.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.9%

Away to win by 3+0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.555.3%

BTTS & Over 2.549.3%

Home & BTTS36.6%

Home & No BTTS36.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.524.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.519.1%

Home & Under 2.517.4%

Draw & BTTS12.9%

Draw & Under 2.510.1%

Away & Over 2.57.4%

BTTS & Under 2.57.1%

Away & BTTS6.9%

Draw & Over 2.55.7%

Away & No BTTS4.6%

Away & Under 2.54.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.579.6%

HT Home Win54.7%

HT Under 1.552.8%

HT/FT Home/Home50.2%

HT Over 1.547.2%

2nd Half More Goals46.3%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Draw31.8%

HT Both Teams Score23.8%

Equal Goals Each Half21.8%

HT Under 0.520.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.9%

HT Away Win13.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.6%

HT/FT Away/Away6.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Away/Home3.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Home/Away1.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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