Russia · Premier League

CSKA Moscow vs Spartak Moscow

Kick-off 14:00 · Sun, Oct 25

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

41% confidence

CSKA Moscow 41.3% Draw 27.4% Spartak Moscow 31.3%

Over 2.5 - 56% BTTS - 60%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

83%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

73%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

60%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 11.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to CSKA Moscow: 14 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.4%

Exact-score model probability

CSKA Moscow

W D D W W W

Form 4-2-0 Goals 9:4 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.67

Spartak Moscow

D W L W W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 9:5 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

CSKA Moscow win41.3%

Draw27.4%

Spartak Moscow win31.3%

Over 1.5 goals80.4%

Over 2.5 goals56.0%

Over 3.5 goals33.6%

Both teams to score60.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

91.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

91.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

85.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)75.5%

Home or Draw (1X)67.3%

Both Halves Over 0.558.6%

Goal in Both Halves58.6%

Draw or Away (X2)57.2%

Draw No Bet - Home56.7%

Draw No Bet - Away43.3%

Home Win42.8%

Away Win32.7%

Draw24.5%

Exactly 1 Goal15.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals94.6%

Under 5.5 Goals92.3%

Under 4.5 Goals82.7%

Over 1.5 Goals79.0%

Under 3.5 Goals66.4%

2-4 Goals61.7%

1-3 Goals61.0%

Over 2.5 Goals56.0%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals45.3%

Under 2.5 Goals44.0%

3-4 Goals38.8%

1-2 Goals38.6%

Over 3.5 Goals33.6%

4+ Goals33.6%

Exactly 2 Goals22.9%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Under 1.5 Goals21.0%

Over 4.5 Goals17.3%

Over 5.5 Goals7.7%

Under 0.5 Goals5.4%

Exactly 0 Goals5.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score79.3%

Away Team to Score74.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)58.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)41.2%

Home Clean Sheet25.9%

Away Clean Sheet20.7%

Home Win to Nil20.6%

Away Win to Nil15.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.579.3%

Away Over 0.574.1%

Home Over 1.546.8%

Away Over 1.539.1%

Away Exactly 135.0%

Home Exactly 132.6%

Away Exactly 025.9%

Home Exactly 225.7%

Away Exactly 223.6%

Home Over 2.521.1%

Home 3+ Goals21.1%

Home Exactly 020.7%

Away Over 2.515.5%

Away 3+ Goals15.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)91.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away91.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)85.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home85.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)78.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away78.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)67.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home67.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)57.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away57.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)42.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)32.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)21.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home21.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.3%

Home to win by 121.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.2%

Away to win by 118.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)14.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away14.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.8%

Home to win by 212.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.4%

Away to win by 29.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)8.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home8.7%

Home to win by 3+8.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.1%

Away to win by 3+5.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.547.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.532.6%

Home & Over 2.527.7%

Home & BTTS22.2%

Away & Over 2.520.6%

Home & No BTTS20.6%

Draw & BTTS19.1%

Away & BTTS17.4%

Draw & Under 2.516.8%

Away & No BTTS15.3%

Home & Under 2.515.1%

Away & Under 2.512.1%

BTTS & Under 2.511.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.7%

Draw & Over 2.57.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.573.2%

HT Under 1.562.1%

2nd Half More Goals44.3%

HT Draw39.6%

HT Over 1.537.9%

HT Home Win33.3%

1st Half More Goals31.3%

HT Away Win27.0%

HT Under 0.526.8%

HT/FT Home/Home25.8%

Equal Goals Each Half24.4%

HT Both Teams Score23.1%

HT/FT Away/Away19.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw13.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home2.7%

HT/FT Home/Away2.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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