UEFA Europa League

CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

Kick-off 19:00 · Thu, Aug 13

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

51% confidence

CSKA Sofia 51.0% Draw 25.6% Maccabi Tel Aviv 23.4%

Over 2.5 - 59% BTTS - 60%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.6%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to CSKA Sofia: 11 points versus 6 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.60 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.6%

Exact-score model probability

CSKA Sofia

W D D W W

Form 3-2-0 Goals 8:3 Scored/game 1.6 Conceded/game 0.6

Maccabi Tel Aviv

L W W

Form 2-0-1 Goals 6:3 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 1

CSKA Sofia 1wins ·0 draws ·Maccabi Tel Aviv 0wins

CSKA Sofia 3-0 Maccabi Tel AvivAug 6, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

CSKA Sofia win51.0%

Draw25.6%

Maccabi Tel Aviv win23.4%

Over 1.5 goals82.0%

Over 2.5 goals58.6%

Over 3.5 goals36.2%

Both teams to score60.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

91.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

90.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

90.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)77.2%

Home or Draw (1X)75.2%

Draw No Bet - Home67.8%

Both Halves Over 0.560.5%

Goal in Both Halves60.5%

Home Win52.3%

Draw or Away (X2)47.6%

Draw No Bet - Away32.2%

Away Win24.8%

Draw22.8%

Exactly 1 Goal14.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.2%

Under 5.5 Goals91.2%

Under 4.5 Goals80.9%

Over 1.5 Goals80.7%

Under 3.5 Goals63.8%

2-4 Goals61.5%

1-3 Goals59.0%

Over 2.5 Goals58.6%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals44.5%

Under 2.5 Goals41.4%

3-4 Goals39.4%

1-2 Goals36.6%

Over 3.5 Goals36.2%

4+ Goals36.2%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals22.1%

Under 1.5 Goals19.3%

Over 4.5 Goals19.1%

Over 5.5 Goals8.8%

Under 0.5 Goals4.8%

Exactly 0 Goals4.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score84.1%

Away Team to Score69.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)58.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)41.2%

Home Clean Sheet30.1%

Home Win to Nil25.3%

Away Clean Sheet15.9%

Away Win to Nil11.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.584.1%

Away Over 0.569.9%

Home Over 1.554.9%

Away Exactly 136.1%

Away Over 1.533.7%

Away Exactly 030.1%

Home Exactly 129.2%

Home Over 2.528.0%

Home 3+ Goals28.0%

Home Exactly 226.9%

Away Exactly 221.7%

Home Exactly 015.9%

Away Over 2.512.0%

Away 3+ Goals12.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)90.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home90.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)86.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away86.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)75.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home75.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)70.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away70.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)52.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)47.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away47.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)29.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home29.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)24.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.8%

Home to win by 122.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.0%

Home to win by 216.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.9%

Away to win by 114.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)13.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home13.5%

Home to win by 3+13.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)9.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away9.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.8%

Away to win by 26.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.1%

Away to win by 3+3.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.548.2%

Home & Over 2.535.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.530.9%

Home & BTTS27.0%

Home & No BTTS25.3%

Draw & BTTS18.0%

Home & Under 2.516.9%

Away & Over 2.515.6%

Draw & Under 2.515.3%

Away & BTTS13.7%

Away & No BTTS11.1%

BTTS & Under 2.510.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.3%

Away & Under 2.59.2%

Draw & Over 2.57.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.574.5%

HT Under 1.560.3%

2nd Half More Goals44.7%

HT Over 1.539.7%

HT Home Win39.6%

HT Draw38.2%

HT/FT Home/Home32.8%

1st Half More Goals31.5%

HT Under 0.525.5%

Equal Goals Each Half23.8%

HT Both Teams Score23.5%

HT Away Win22.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.4%

HT/FT Away/Away14.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Away/Home3.1%

HT/FT Home/Away1.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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