UEFA Europa Conference League

CSKA Sofia vs Monaco

Kick-off 17:45 · Thu, Oct 15

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

65% confidence

CSKA Sofia 18.8% Draw 16.0% Monaco 65.2%

Over 2.5 - 89% BTTS - 82%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

84%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-3 at 6.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Monaco: 5 points versus 14 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.3%

Exact-score model probability

CSKA Sofia

L L L W D D

Form 1-2-3 Goals 4:8 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.33

Monaco

D W D W W W

Form 4-2-0 Goals 10:5 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 0.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

CSKA Sofia win18.8%

Draw16.0%

Monaco win65.2%

Over 1.5 goals97.0%

Over 2.5 goals89.0%

Over 3.5 goals75.9%

Both teams to score82.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

91.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home

91.0%

HT Over 0.5

90.3%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.585.2%

Goal in Both Halves85.2%

Home or Away (12)84.3%

Draw or Away (X2)80.1%

Draw No Bet - Away77.3%

Away Win65.2%

Home or Draw (1X)34.1%

Draw No Bet - Home22.7%

Home Win19.1%

Draw15.0%

Exactly 1 Goal2.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.7%

Over 1.5 Goals95.8%

Over 2.5 Goals88.3%

Over 3.5 Goals75.4%

4+ Goals75.4%

Under 5.5 Goals58.9%

Over 4.5 Goals58.6%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Under 4.5 Goals41.4%

Over 5.5 Goals41.1%

2-4 Goals37.3%

3-4 Goals29.8%

Under 3.5 Goals24.6%

1-3 Goals23.3%

2-3 Goals20.4%

Exactly 3 Goals13.0%

Under 2.5 Goals11.7%

1-2 Goals10.4%

Exactly 2 Goals7.5%

Under 1.5 Goals4.2%

Under 0.5 Goals1.3%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.7%

Home Team to Score84.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)81.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)19.0%

Away Clean Sheet15.2%

Away Win to Nil14.7%

Home Clean Sheet3.6%

Home Win to Nil3.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.7%

Home Over 0.584.0%

Away Over 1.583.7%

Away Over 2.563.7%

Away 3+ Goals63.7%

Home Over 1.555.5%

Home Over 2.528.7%

Home 3+ Goals28.7%

Home Exactly 128.6%

Home Exactly 226.8%

Away Exactly 219.9%

Home Exactly 015.2%

Away Exactly 112.0%

Away Exactly 03.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)91.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home91.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)90.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away90.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)82.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home82.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)80.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away80.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)68.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home68.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)65.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)51.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home51.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)47.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away47.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)34.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home34.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)30.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away30.4%

Away to win by 3+30.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)19.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.8%

Away to win by 117.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)17.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away17.0%

Away to win by 217.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw13.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw10.0%

Home to win by 110.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)9.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home9.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw8.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)8.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away8.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.4%

Home to win by 25.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw4.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.7%

Home to win by 3+3.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away3.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.577.5%

Away & Over 2.560.3%

Away & BTTS50.5%

Home & Over 2.517.1%

Home & BTTS16.1%

Away & No BTTS14.7%

Draw & BTTS14.4%

Draw & Over 2.511.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.57.5%

Away & Under 2.54.9%

Draw & Under 2.54.0%

BTTS & Under 2.53.5%

Home & No BTTS3.1%

Home & Under 2.52.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.3%

HT Over 1.567.8%

HT Away Win52.5%

2nd Half More Goals50.0%

HT/FT Away/Away45.7%

HT Both Teams Score44.2%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.532.2%

HT Draw26.2%

HT Home Win21.2%

Equal Goals Each Half17.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.7%

HT/FT Home/Home11.3%

HT Under 0.59.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home5.5%

HT/FT Home/Away5.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Away/Home2.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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