South-Korea · K League 1

Daejeon Citizen vs Gangwon FC

Kick-off 11:30 · Sun, Aug 23

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

41% confidence

Daejeon Citizen 35.2% Draw 24.1% Gangwon FC 40.7%

Over 2.5 - 70% BTTS - 71%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 8.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.84 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.7%

Exact-score model probability

Daejeon Citizen

L W W L D D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 10:10 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.67

Gangwon FC

W L L D W D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 7:8 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 1

Daejeon Citizen 0wins ·0 draws ·Gangwon FC 1wins

Daejeon Citizen 0-2 Gangwon FCMay 12, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Daejeon Citizen win35.2%

Draw24.1%

Gangwon FC win40.7%

Over 1.5 goals88.8%

Over 2.5 goals70.2%

Over 3.5 goals49.1%

Both teams to score71.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

89.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

89.8%

Over 1.5 Goals

87.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)78.2%

Both Halves Over 0.569.5%

Goal in Both Halves69.5%

Draw or Away (X2)63.6%

Home or Draw (1X)58.1%

Draw No Bet - Away53.5%

Draw No Bet - Home46.5%

Away Win41.8%

Home Win36.4%

Draw21.8%

Exactly 1 Goal9.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.3%

Over 1.5 Goals87.7%

Under 5.5 Goals84.0%

Over 2.5 Goals70.2%

Under 4.5 Goals70.1%

2-4 Goals57.8%

Under 3.5 Goals51.0%

Total Goals Odd50.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Over 3.5 Goals49.0%

4+ Goals49.0%

1-3 Goals48.3%

3-4 Goals40.3%

2-3 Goals38.6%

Over 4.5 Goals29.9%

Under 2.5 Goals29.8%

1-2 Goals27.1%

Exactly 3 Goals21.1%

Exactly 2 Goals17.5%

Over 5.5 Goals16.0%

Under 1.5 Goals12.3%

Under 0.5 Goals2.7%

Exactly 0 Goals2.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score84.7%

Home Team to Score82.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)70.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)30.0%

Away Clean Sheet17.4%

Home Clean Sheet15.2%

Away Win to Nil14.8%

Home Win to Nil12.6%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.584.7%

Home Over 0.582.5%

Away Over 1.556.1%

Home Over 1.552.1%

Home Exactly 130.5%

Away Over 2.529.1%

Away 3+ Goals29.1%

Away Exactly 128.7%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 226.6%

Home Over 2.525.5%

Home 3+ Goals25.5%

Home Exactly 017.4%

Away Exactly 015.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)92.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away92.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)89.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home89.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)81.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away81.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)77.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home77.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)63.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away63.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)58.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home58.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)41.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)36.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)22.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away22.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.2%

Away to win by 119.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)18.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home18.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.8%

Home to win by 117.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.5%

Away to win by 212.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.8%

Home to win by 210.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)10.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away10.1%

Away to win by 3+10.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)7.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home7.8%

Home to win by 3+7.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.561.2%

Away & Over 2.532.1%

Home & Over 2.527.7%

Away & BTTS27.0%

Home & BTTS23.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.521.1%

Draw & BTTS19.1%

Away & No BTTS14.8%

Home & No BTTS12.6%

Draw & Under 2.511.4%

Draw & Over 2.510.4%

Away & Under 2.59.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.0%

Home & Under 2.58.7%

BTTS & Under 2.58.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.5%

HT Under 1.551.4%

HT Over 1.548.6%

2nd Half More Goals46.5%

HT Draw34.9%

HT Away Win34.3%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Both Teams Score31.1%

HT Home Win30.8%

HT/FT Away/Away25.8%

HT/FT Home/Home22.0%

Equal Goals Each Half21.5%

HT Under 0.519.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Away3.3%

HT/FT Away/Home3.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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