South-Korea · K League 1

Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC

Kick-off 11:30 · Sun, Aug 2

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

88% confidence

Daejeon Citizen 88.2% Draw 9.1% Gwangju FC 2.7%

Over 2.5 - 73% BTTS - 40%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 63%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-0 at 13%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Daejeon Citizen: 4 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

13%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

63%

Market does not fully agree

Daejeon Citizen

L D D D D L

Form 0-4-2 Goals 7:9 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.5

Gwangju FC

L D D L D L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 4:12 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 2

Head to head · last 1

Daejeon Citizen 1wins ·0 draws ·Gwangju FC 0wins

Daejeon Citizen 5-0 Gwangju FCMay 2, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Daejeon Citizen win88.2%

Draw9.1%

Gwangju FC win2.7%

Over 1.5 goals89.8%

Over 2.5 goals73.1%

Over 3.5 goals52.6%

Both teams to score40.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

91.5%

Home or Away (12)

91.3%

Over 1.5 Goals

88.7%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home96.6%

Home or Draw (1X)96.2%

Home or Away (12)91.3%

Home Win88.1%

Both Halves Over 0.571.9%

Goal in Both Halves71.9%

Draw or Away (X2)11.2%

Exactly 1 Goal8.4%

Draw8.1%

Draw No Bet - Away3.4%

Away Win3.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.1%

Over 1.5 Goals88.7%

Under 5.5 Goals82.0%

Over 2.5 Goals72.6%

Under 4.5 Goals67.2%

2-4 Goals55.9%

Over 3.5 Goals52.2%

4+ Goals52.2%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Under 3.5 Goals47.8%

1-3 Goals44.9%

3-4 Goals39.9%

2-3 Goals36.5%

Over 4.5 Goals32.8%

Under 2.5 Goals27.4%

1-2 Goals24.5%

Exactly 3 Goals20.4%

Over 5.5 Goals18.0%

Exactly 2 Goals16.1%

Under 1.5 Goals11.3%

Under 0.5 Goals2.9%

Exactly 0 Goals2.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)60.8%

Home Clean Sheet58.6%

Home Win to Nil56.4%

Away Team to Score40.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)39.2%

Away Clean Sheet3.7%

Away Win to Nil1.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.6%

Home Over 1.583.3%

Home Over 2.563.1%

Home 3+ Goals63.1%

Away Exactly 058.6%

Away Over 0.540.7%

Away Exactly 130.9%

Home Exactly 220.2%

Home Exactly 112.3%

Away Over 1.59.8%

Away Exactly 28.2%

Home Exactly 03.7%

Away Over 2.51.6%

Away 3+ Goals1.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home98.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home96.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)91.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)88.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)82.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away82.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)72.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home72.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)67.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away67.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)52.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home52.0%

Home to win by 3+52.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)47.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away47.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)32.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home32.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)26.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away26.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.5%

Home to win by 220.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw19.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)17.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home17.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.7%

Home to win by 115.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw15.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)11.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away11.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw9.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)7.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home7.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw2.5%

Away to win by 12.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.5%

Away to win by 20.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%

Away to win by 3+0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.568.9%

Home & No BTTS56.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.537.3%

BTTS & Over 2.535.4%

Home & BTTS31.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.522.9%

Home & Under 2.519.2%

Draw & Under 2.56.0%

Draw & BTTS5.9%

BTTS & Under 2.53.8%

Draw & Over 2.52.0%

Away & Over 2.51.7%

Away & BTTS1.6%

Away & Under 2.51.5%

Away & No BTTS1.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.0%

HT Home Win69.4%

HT/FT Home/Home67.6%

HT Over 1.551.1%

HT Under 1.548.9%

2nd Half More Goals47.0%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Draw24.9%

Equal Goals Each Half20.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.7%

HT Under 0.518.0%

HT Both Teams Score16.3%

HT Away Win5.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home2.5%

HT/FT Away/Away1.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.3%

HT/FT Home/Away0.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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