South-Korea · K League 1

Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United

Full time · 2:0

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

58% confidence

Daejeon Citizen 57.5% Draw 17.0% Incheon United 25.5%

Over 2.5 - 91% BTTS - 86%

✓ Pick was correct (2:0)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

86%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

83%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Incheon United: 8 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.5%

Exact-score model probability

Daejeon Citizen

W W D D L L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 10:12 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 2

Incheon United

D W D L W D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 6:5 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 0.83

Head to head · last 2

Daejeon Citizen 0wins ·2 draws ·Incheon United 0wins

Daejeon Citizen 1-1 Incheon UnitedSep 20, 2026

Daejeon Citizen 0-0 Incheon UnitedMay 5, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Daejeon Citizen win57.5%

Draw17.0%

Incheon United win25.5%

Over 1.5 goals97.6%

Over 2.5 goals90.8%

Over 3.5 goals79.2%

Both teams to score86.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

90.0%

Home Team to Score

89.6%

Home Over 0.5

89.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.9%

Both Halves Over 0.573.0%

Goal in Both Halves73.0%

Home or Draw (1X)72.4%

Draw No Bet - Home65.5%

Home Win52.3%

Draw or Away (X2)47.6%

Draw No Bet - Away34.5%

Away Win27.5%

Draw20.1%

Exactly 1 Goal7.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.9%

Over 1.5 Goals90.0%

Under 5.5 Goals80.2%

Over 2.5 Goals74.6%

Under 4.5 Goals65.0%

2-4 Goals55.0%

Over 3.5 Goals54.6%

4+ Goals54.6%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals45.4%

1-3 Goals43.4%

3-4 Goals39.5%

2-3 Goals35.4%

Over 4.5 Goals35.0%

Under 2.5 Goals25.4%

1-2 Goals23.3%

Exactly 3 Goals20.0%

Over 5.5 Goals19.8%

Exactly 2 Goals15.4%

Under 1.5 Goals10.0%

Under 0.5 Goals2.1%

Exactly 0 Goals2.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score89.6%

Away Team to Score80.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)72.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)28.0%

Home Clean Sheet19.7%

Home Win to Nil17.6%

Away Clean Sheet10.3%

Away Win to Nil8.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.589.6%

Away Over 0.580.3%

Home Over 1.566.2%

Away Over 1.548.3%

Home Over 2.539.6%

Home 3+ Goals39.6%

Away Exactly 132.0%

Home Exactly 226.6%

Away Exactly 226.0%

Home Exactly 123.4%

Away Over 2.522.3%

Away 3+ Goals22.3%

Away Exactly 019.7%

Home Exactly 010.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)86.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home86.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)83.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away83.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)72.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home72.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)67.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away67.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)52.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)47.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away47.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)32.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home32.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)27.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.3%

Home to win by 120.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)16.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home16.5%

Home to win by 3+16.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.5%

Home to win by 215.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.5%

Away to win by 114.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)13.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away13.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.0%

Away to win by 28.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.1%

Away to win by 3+5.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.564.5%

Home & Over 2.542.5%

Home & BTTS34.7%

Away & Over 2.521.6%

Away & BTTS19.3%

Draw & BTTS18.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.517.9%

Home & No BTTS17.6%

Draw & Over 2.510.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.1%

Home & Under 2.59.8%

Draw & Under 2.59.5%

Away & No BTTS8.3%

BTTS & Under 2.57.5%

Away & Under 2.56.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.7%

HT Over 1.552.3%

HT Under 1.547.7%

2nd Half More Goals47.2%

HT Home Win41.5%

HT/FT Home/Home33.7%

HT Both Teams Score33.2%

HT Draw32.9%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Away Win25.6%

Equal Goals Each Half20.6%

HT Under 0.517.3%

HT/FT Away/Away16.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home4.0%

HT/FT Home/Away2.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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