South-Korea · K League 1

Daejeon Citizen vs Jeonbuk Motors

Kick-off 06:00 · Fri, Oct 9

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

56% confidence

Daejeon Citizen 55.6% Draw 20.5% Jeonbuk Motors 23.9%

Over 2.5 - 78% BTTS - 75%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Daejeon Citizen: 8 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.2%

Exact-score model probability

Daejeon Citizen

D D L L W W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 10:11 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.83

Jeonbuk Motors

D L D W L L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 8:11 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.83

Head to head · last 1

Daejeon Citizen 0wins ·1 draws ·Jeonbuk Motors 0wins

Daejeon Citizen 0-0 Jeonbuk MotorsJul 21, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Daejeon Citizen win55.6%

Draw20.5%

Jeonbuk Motors win23.9%

Over 1.5 goals92.6%

Over 2.5 goals78.1%

Over 3.5 goals59.3%

Both teams to score74.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.7%

Home Team to Score

91.7%

Home Over 0.5

91.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)81.1%

Both Halves Over 0.575.8%

Goal in Both Halves75.8%

Home or Draw (1X)75.2%

Draw No Bet - Home69.6%

Home Win56.4%

Draw or Away (X2)43.5%

Draw No Bet - Away30.4%

Away Win24.7%

Draw18.8%

Exactly 1 Goal6.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.3%

Over 1.5 Goals91.7%

Over 2.5 Goals78.0%

Under 5.5 Goals76.4%

Under 4.5 Goals60.3%

Over 3.5 Goals59.2%

4+ Goals59.2%

2-4 Goals52.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals40.8%

Over 4.5 Goals39.7%

1-3 Goals39.1%

3-4 Goals38.3%

2-3 Goals32.5%

Over 5.5 Goals23.6%

Under 2.5 Goals22.0%

1-2 Goals20.3%

Exactly 3 Goals18.8%

Exactly 2 Goals13.7%

Under 1.5 Goals8.3%

Under 0.5 Goals1.7%

Exactly 0 Goals1.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score91.7%

Away Team to Score80.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)73.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)26.1%

Home Clean Sheet19.4%

Home Win to Nil17.8%

Away Clean Sheet8.2%

Away Win to Nil6.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.591.7%

Away Over 0.580.5%

Home Over 1.571.1%

Away Over 1.548.7%

Home Over 2.545.5%

Home 3+ Goals45.5%

Away Exactly 131.8%

Away Exactly 226.1%

Home Exactly 225.7%

Away Over 2.522.7%

Away 3+ Goals22.7%

Home Exactly 120.5%

Away Exactly 019.4%

Home Exactly 08.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)90.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away90.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)79.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away79.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)75.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home75.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)63.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away63.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)56.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)43.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away43.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)36.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home36.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)24.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.1%

Home to win by 120.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)19.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home19.9%

Home to win by 3+19.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.4%

Home to win by 216.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.2%

Away to win by 113.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)9.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home9.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.1%

Away to win by 27.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.4%

Away to win by 3+4.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.567.3%

Home & Over 2.547.4%

Home & BTTS38.6%

Away & Over 2.519.9%

Away & BTTS18.0%

Home & No BTTS17.8%

Draw & BTTS17.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.515.3%

Draw & Over 2.510.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.7%

Home & Under 2.59.0%

Draw & Under 2.58.1%

Away & No BTTS6.6%

BTTS & Under 2.56.5%

Away & Under 2.54.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.5%

HT Over 1.555.5%

2nd Half More Goals47.8%

HT Home Win44.7%

HT Under 1.544.5%

HT/FT Home/Home37.1%

HT Both Teams Score35.2%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw31.4%

HT Away Win24.0%

Equal Goals Each Half20.0%

HT Under 0.515.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.0%

HT/FT Away/Away14.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home4.4%

HT/FT Home/Away2.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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