South-Korea · K League 1

Daejeon Citizen vs Pohang Steelers

Kick-off 11:00 · Sat, Sep 12

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

53% confidence

Daejeon Citizen 53.0% Draw 19.5% Pohang Steelers 27.5%

Over 2.5 - 84% BTTS - 81%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

81%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

81%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 6.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Daejeon Citizen: 7 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.8%

Exact-score model probability

Daejeon Citizen

L L W W L D

Form 2-1-3 Goals 9:11 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.83

Pohang Steelers

D L W L L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 2:8 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 1

Daejeon Citizen 0wins ·0 draws ·Pohang Steelers 1wins

Daejeon Citizen 0-2 Pohang SteelersMay 9, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Daejeon Citizen win53.0%

Draw19.5%

Pohang Steelers win27.5%

Over 1.5 goals95.3%

Over 2.5 goals84.3%

Over 3.5 goals68.3%

Both teams to score80.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

90.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

90.3%

HT Over 0.5

87.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)81.7%

Both Halves Over 0.580.9%

Goal in Both Halves80.9%

Home or Draw (1X)71.7%

Draw No Bet - Home65.6%

Home Win53.6%

Draw or Away (X2)46.2%

Draw No Bet - Away34.4%

Away Win28.1%

Draw18.1%

Exactly 1 Goal4.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.8%

Over 1.5 Goals94.4%

Over 2.5 Goals84.1%

Over 3.5 Goals68.1%

4+ Goals68.1%

Under 5.5 Goals67.8%

Under 4.5 Goals50.5%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Over 4.5 Goals49.5%

2-4 Goals44.9%

3-4 Goals34.6%

Over 5.5 Goals32.2%

Under 3.5 Goals31.9%

1-3 Goals30.7%

2-3 Goals26.3%

Exactly 3 Goals16.0%

Under 2.5 Goals15.9%

1-2 Goals14.7%

Exactly 2 Goals10.3%

Under 1.5 Goals5.6%

Under 0.5 Goals1.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.0%

Away Team to Score85.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)80.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)20.0%

Home Clean Sheet14.0%

Home Win to Nil13.0%

Away Clean Sheet6.8%

Away Win to Nil5.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.0%

Away Over 0.585.8%

Home Over 1.574.8%

Away Over 1.558.3%

Home Over 2.550.2%

Home 3+ Goals50.2%

Away Over 2.531.3%

Away 3+ Goals31.3%

Away Exactly 127.5%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 224.5%

Home Exactly 118.2%

Away Exactly 014.0%

Home Exactly 06.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)90.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away90.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)85.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home85.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)80.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away80.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)71.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home71.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)64.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away64.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)53.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)46.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away46.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)34.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home34.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)28.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)19.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home19.6%

Home to win by 3+19.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.7%

Home to win by 118.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.3%

Home to win by 215.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)14.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away14.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.7%

Away to win by 113.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)9.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home9.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.2%

Away to win by 28.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.2%

Away to win by 3+6.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.575.0%

Home & Over 2.547.6%

Home & BTTS40.6%

Away & Over 2.524.4%

Away & BTTS22.3%

Draw & BTTS17.2%

Home & No BTTS13.0%

Draw & Over 2.512.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.2%

Home & Under 2.56.0%

Draw & Under 2.56.0%

Away & No BTTS5.8%

BTTS & Under 2.55.0%

Away & Under 2.53.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.7%

HT Over 1.561.9%

2nd Half More Goals49.0%

HT Home Win43.6%

HT Both Teams Score41.2%

HT Under 1.538.1%

HT/FT Home/Home35.3%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw29.5%

HT Away Win26.9%

Equal Goals Each Half18.7%

HT/FT Away/Away16.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.6%

HT Under 0.512.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Away/Home4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away3.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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