South-Korea · K League 1

Daejeon Citizen vs Ulsan Hyundai FC

Kick-off 11:30 · Wed, Aug 26

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

43% confidence

Daejeon Citizen 43.4% Draw 20.7% Ulsan Hyundai FC 35.9%

Over 2.5 - 83% BTTS - 81%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

81%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 7.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Ulsan Hyundai FC: 8 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.1%

Exact-score model probability

Daejeon Citizen

L W W L D D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 10:10 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.67

Ulsan Hyundai FC

L L W W W L

Form 3-0-3 Goals 11:8 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 1

Daejeon Citizen 0wins ·1 draws ·Ulsan Hyundai FC 0wins

Daejeon Citizen 2-2 Ulsan Hyundai FCJul 18, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Daejeon Citizen win43.4%

Draw20.7%

Ulsan Hyundai FC win35.9%

Over 1.5 goals94.7%

Over 2.5 goals82.9%

Over 3.5 goals66.2%

Both teams to score80.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

90.5%

Home Over 0.5

90.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

90.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.6%

Both Halves Over 0.579.7%

Goal in Both Halves79.7%

Home or Draw (1X)63.3%

Draw or Away (X2)55.9%

Draw No Bet - Home54.6%

Draw No Bet - Away45.4%

Home Win44.0%

Away Win36.6%

Draw19.3%

Exactly 1 Goal4.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.8%

Over 1.5 Goals93.9%

Over 2.5 Goals82.8%

Under 5.5 Goals70.0%

Over 3.5 Goals66.1%

4+ Goals66.1%

Under 4.5 Goals52.8%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Over 4.5 Goals47.2%

2-4 Goals46.7%

3-4 Goals35.7%

Under 3.5 Goals33.9%

1-3 Goals32.7%

Over 5.5 Goals30.0%

2-3 Goals27.8%

Under 2.5 Goals17.2%

Exactly 3 Goals16.7%

1-2 Goals16.0%

Exactly 2 Goals11.1%

Under 1.5 Goals6.1%

Under 0.5 Goals1.2%

Exactly 0 Goals1.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score90.5%

Away Team to Score88.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)80.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)19.9%

Home Clean Sheet11.5%

Home Win to Nil10.4%

Away Clean Sheet9.4%

Away Win to Nil8.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.590.5%

Away Over 0.588.4%

Home Over 1.568.3%

Away Over 1.563.5%

Home Over 2.542.0%

Home 3+ Goals42.0%

Away Over 2.536.6%

Away 3+ Goals36.6%

Away Exactly 226.9%

Home Exactly 226.3%

Away Exactly 124.9%

Home Exactly 122.2%

Away Exactly 011.5%

Home Exactly 09.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)90.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home90.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)86.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away86.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)79.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home79.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)73.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away73.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)63.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home63.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)55.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away55.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)44.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)36.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)26.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home26.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)20.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away20.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.8%

Home to win by 117.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.2%

Away to win by 116.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)13.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home13.4%

Home to win by 3+13.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.9%

Home to win by 212.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.7%

Away to win by 210.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)9.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away9.6%

Away to win by 3+9.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.574.5%

Home & Over 2.538.4%

Home & BTTS33.6%

Away & Over 2.531.7%

Away & BTTS28.3%

Draw & BTTS18.2%

Draw & Over 2.512.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.511.5%

Home & No BTTS10.4%

Away & No BTTS8.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.3%

Draw & Under 2.56.6%

Home & Under 2.55.6%

BTTS & Under 2.55.5%

Away & Under 2.54.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.0%

HT Over 1.560.4%

2nd Half More Goals48.7%

HT Both Teams Score40.7%

HT Under 1.539.6%

HT Home Win37.2%

HT Away Win32.4%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw30.5%

HT/FT Home/Home28.0%

HT/FT Away/Away22.7%

Equal Goals Each Half19.0%

HT Under 0.513.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home4.2%

HT/FT Home/Away3.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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