USA · Major League Soccer

DC United vs Atlanta United FC

Kick-off 00:30 · Sun, Sep 13

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

66% confidence

DC United 66.3% Draw 14.1% Atlanta United FC 19.6%

Over 2.5 - 95% BTTS - 89%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

89%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

86%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-2 at 5.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Atlanta United FC: 8 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.2%

Exact-score model probability

DC United

W L L D D W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 8:11 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.83

Atlanta United FC

L L L W W W

Form 3-0-3 Goals 9:10 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

DC United win66.3%

Draw14.1%

Atlanta United FC win19.6%

Over 1.5 goals98.8%

Over 2.5 goals94.8%

Over 3.5 goals86.8%

Both teams to score88.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Halves Over 0.5

91.0%

Goal in Both Halves

91.0%

Away Team to Score

88.4%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.591.0%

Goal in Both Halves91.0%

Home or Away (12)84.6%

Home or Draw (1X)78.6%

Draw No Bet - Home77.1%

Home Win65.2%

Draw or Away (X2)32.8%

Draw No Bet - Away22.9%

Away Win19.4%

Draw13.4%

Exactly 1 Goal1.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.8%

Over 1.5 Goals96.6%

Over 2.5 Goals92.9%

Over 3.5 Goals85.1%

4+ Goals85.1%

Over 4.5 Goals72.9%

Over 5.5 Goals57.6%

Total Goals Odd49.0%

Total Goals Even49.0%

Under 5.5 Goals42.4%

Under 4.5 Goals27.1%

2-4 Goals23.7%

3-4 Goals20.0%

Under 3.5 Goals14.9%

1-3 Goals12.7%

2-3 Goals11.5%

Exactly 3 Goals7.8%

Under 2.5 Goals7.1%

1-2 Goals4.9%

Exactly 2 Goals3.7%

Under 1.5 Goals3.4%

Under 0.5 Goals2.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.0%

Away Team to Score88.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)86.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)13.4%

Home Clean Sheet9.6%

Home Win to Nil9.4%

Away Clean Sheet1.9%

Away Win to Nil1.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.0%

Home Over 1.588.4%

Away Over 0.588.4%

Home Over 2.573.3%

Home 3+ Goals73.3%

Away Over 1.566.0%

Away Over 2.540.1%

Away 3+ Goals40.1%

Away Exactly 225.9%

Away Exactly 122.3%

Home Exactly 215.1%

Away Exactly 09.6%

Home Exactly 17.6%

Home Exactly 01.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)93.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)87.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away87.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)78.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home78.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)78.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away78.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)65.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)64.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away64.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)49.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home49.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)48.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away48.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)33.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home33.4%

Home to win by 3+33.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)32.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away32.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)20.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home20.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)19.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.9%

Home to win by 115.9%

Home to win by 215.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)10.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home10.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)10.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away10.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.4%

Away to win by 19.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.5%

Away to win by 25.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.5%

Away to win by 3+4.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.584.9%

Home & Over 2.563.0%

Home & BTTS55.8%

Away & Over 2.518.4%

Away & BTTS17.6%

Draw & BTTS13.2%

Draw & Over 2.511.5%

Home & No BTTS9.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.53.4%

Home & Under 2.52.2%

Draw & Under 2.51.9%

Away & No BTTS1.7%

BTTS & Under 2.51.7%

Away & Under 2.51.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.594.0%

HT Over 1.577.2%

HT Home Win54.5%

HT Both Teams Score53.8%

2nd Half More Goals51.7%

HT/FT Home/Home47.4%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw23.3%

HT Under 1.522.8%

HT Away Win22.2%

Equal Goals Each Half15.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.5%

HT/FT Away/Away11.6%

HT/FT Away/Home6.2%

HT Under 0.56.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Home/Away2.7%

Corners (12)

Home Most Corners81.3%

Home Over 4.5 Corners81.1%

Over 8.5 Corners70.3%

Under 11.5 Corners65.8%

Over 9.5 Corners58.3%

Under 10.5 Corners54.1%

Over 10.5 Corners45.9%

Under 9.5 Corners41.7%

Over 11.5 Corners34.2%

Under 8.5 Corners29.7%

Away Over 4.5 Corners27.5%

Away Most Corners11.3%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards82.6%

Under 5.5 Cards70.3%

Over 3.5 Cards65.8%

Under 4.5 Cards53.2%

Over 4.5 Cards46.8%

Under 3.5 Cards34.2%

Over 5.5 Cards29.7%

Over 0.5 Red Cards18.0%

Under 2.5 Cards17.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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