USA · Major League Soccer

DC United vs Charlotte

Kick-off 00:30 · Sun, Sep 20

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

57% confidence

DC United 27.5% Draw 15.8% Charlotte 56.7%

Over 2.5 - 95% BTTS - 91%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

91%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

84%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-3 at 5.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Charlotte: 6 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.2%

Exact-score model probability

DC United

D W L L D D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 6:10 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.67

Charlotte

D W D W W D

Form 3-3-0 Goals 13:8 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 1

DC United 0wins ·0 draws ·Charlotte 1wins

DC United 1-3 CharlotteAug 23, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

DC United win27.5%

Draw15.8%

Charlotte win56.7%

Over 1.5 goals98.9%

Over 2.5 goals95.0%

Over 3.5 goals87.4%

Both teams to score90.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

91.7%

Home Over 0.5

91.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

91.7%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.591.3%

Goal in Both Halves91.3%

Home or Away (12)83.4%

Draw or Away (X2)71.3%

Draw No Bet - Away67.3%

Away Win56.2%

Home or Draw (1X)42.4%

Draw No Bet - Home32.7%

Home Win27.3%

Draw15.1%

Exactly 1 Goal1.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.4%

Over 1.5 Goals97.2%

Over 2.5 Goals93.7%

Over 3.5 Goals86.1%

4+ Goals86.1%

Over 4.5 Goals74.2%

Over 5.5 Goals59.1%

Total Goals Odd49.3%

Total Goals Even49.3%

Under 5.5 Goals40.9%

Under 4.5 Goals25.8%

2-4 Goals23.0%

3-4 Goals19.5%

Under 3.5 Goals13.9%

1-3 Goals12.2%

2-3 Goals11.1%

Exactly 3 Goals7.5%

Under 2.5 Goals6.3%

1-2 Goals4.7%

Exactly 2 Goals3.6%

Under 1.5 Goals2.8%

Under 0.5 Goals1.6%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score96.0%

Home Team to Score91.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)89.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)10.7%

Away Clean Sheet6.8%

Away Win to Nil6.7%

Home Clean Sheet2.6%

Home Win to Nil2.4%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.596.0%

Home Over 0.591.7%

Away Over 1.586.5%

Home Over 1.573.5%

Away Over 2.569.3%

Away 3+ Goals69.3%

Home Over 2.549.1%

Home 3+ Goals49.1%

Home Exactly 224.4%

Home Exactly 118.2%

Away Exactly 217.2%

Away Exactly 19.4%

Home Exactly 06.8%

Away Exactly 02.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)91.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home91.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)90.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away90.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)84.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home84.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)83.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away83.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)73.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home73.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)71.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away71.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)58.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home58.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)56.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)42.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home42.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)40.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away40.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)27.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)25.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away25.4%

Away to win by 3+25.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.2%

Away to win by 116.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)15.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home15.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.6%

Away to win by 214.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)14.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away14.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.8%

Home to win by 111.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw11.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw7.8%

Home to win by 27.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)7.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home7.7%

Home to win by 3+7.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw7.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)6.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away6.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw4.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.587.6%

Away & Over 2.554.3%

Away & BTTS49.5%

Home & Over 2.526.2%

Home & BTTS24.9%

Draw & BTTS14.9%

Draw & Over 2.513.2%

Away & No BTTS6.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.53.1%

Home & No BTTS2.4%

Draw & Under 2.51.9%

Away & Under 2.51.8%

BTTS & Under 2.51.7%

Home & Under 2.51.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.594.2%

HT Over 1.577.7%

HT Both Teams Score56.4%

2nd Half More Goals51.8%

HT Away Win47.7%

HT/FT Away/Away39.1%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Home Win27.9%

HT Draw24.4%

HT Under 1.522.3%

HT/FT Home/Home16.9%

Equal Goals Each Half15.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.9%

HT/FT Home/Away6.1%

HT Under 0.55.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home3.7%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners71.6%

Home Over 4.5 Corners71.5%

Home Most Corners70.2%

Over 8.5 Corners64.8%

Under 10.5 Corners60.4%

Over 9.5 Corners52.1%

Under 9.5 Corners47.9%

Over 10.5 Corners39.6%

Under 8.5 Corners35.2%

Away Over 4.5 Corners33.9%

Over 11.5 Corners28.4%

Away Most Corners19.5%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards82.6%

Under 5.5 Cards70.3%

Over 3.5 Cards65.8%

Under 4.5 Cards53.2%

Over 4.5 Cards46.8%

Under 3.5 Cards34.2%

Over 5.5 Cards29.7%

Over 0.5 Red Cards18.0%

Under 2.5 Cards17.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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