USA · Major League Soccer

DC United vs Columbus Crew

Kick-off 00:30 · Thu, Sep 10

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

56% confidence

DC United 56.2% Draw 15.6% Columbus Crew 28.2%

Over 2.5 - 96% BTTS - 92%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

89%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

84%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is DC United win at 56.2%.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to DC United: 6 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.84 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

DC United win

56.2%

1X2 model probability

Draw

15.6%

1X2 model probability

Columbus Crew win

28.2%

1X2 model probability

DC United

L L D D W D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 7:11 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.83

Columbus Crew

W L L L L D

Form 1-1-4 Goals 10:13 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 2.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

DC United win56.2%

Draw15.6%

Columbus Crew win28.2%

Over 1.5 goals99.1%

Over 2.5 goals95.8%

Over 3.5 goals89.0%

Both teams to score91.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

91.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

91.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)

90.1%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.592.2%

Goal in Both Halves92.2%

Home or Away (12)83.4%

Home or Draw (1X)70.3%

Draw No Bet - Home66.4%

Home Win55.4%

Draw or Away (X2)42.9%

Draw No Bet - Away33.6%

Away Win28.0%

Draw14.9%

Exactly 1 Goal0.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.1%

Over 1.5 Goals97.2%

Over 2.5 Goals94.1%

Over 3.5 Goals87.5%

4+ Goals87.5%

Over 4.5 Goals76.6%

Over 5.5 Goals62.2%

Total Goals Odd49.1%

Total Goals Even49.1%

Under 5.5 Goals37.8%

Under 4.5 Goals23.4%

2-4 Goals20.6%

3-4 Goals17.6%

Under 3.5 Goals12.5%

1-3 Goals10.6%

2-3 Goals9.7%

Exactly 3 Goals6.7%

Under 2.5 Goals5.9%

1-2 Goals4.0%

Exactly 2 Goals3.0%

Under 1.5 Goals2.8%

Under 0.5 Goals1.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.9%

Away Team to Score92.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)90.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)9.9%

Home Clean Sheet6.0%

Home Win to Nil5.8%

Away Clean Sheet2.3%

Away Win to Nil2.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.9%

Away Over 0.592.3%

Home Over 1.587.2%

Away Over 1.575.5%

Home Over 2.570.8%

Home 3+ Goals70.8%

Away Over 2.552.1%

Away 3+ Goals52.1%

Away Exactly 223.5%

Away Exactly 116.7%

Home Exactly 216.4%

Home Exactly 18.7%

Away Exactly 06.0%

Home Exactly 02.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)94.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home94.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)91.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away91.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)90.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home90.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)84.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away84.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)82.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home82.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)73.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away73.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)70.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home70.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)58.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away58.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)55.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)42.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away42.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)39.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home39.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)28.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)25.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home25.2%

Home to win by 3+25.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)16.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away16.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.9%

Home to win by 115.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.3%

Home to win by 214.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)14.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home14.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.8%

Away to win by 111.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)8.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away8.2%

Away to win by 3+8.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.0%

Away to win by 28.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)6.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home6.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.588.6%

Home & Over 2.553.9%

Home & BTTS49.5%

Away & Over 2.527.0%

Away & BTTS25.8%

Draw & BTTS14.8%

Draw & Over 2.513.3%

Home & No BTTS5.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.55.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.52.6%

Away & No BTTS2.2%

Draw & Under 2.51.6%

Home & Under 2.51.5%

BTTS & Under 2.51.5%

Away & Under 2.51.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.594.8%

HT Over 1.579.4%

HT Both Teams Score58.5%

2nd Half More Goals52.2%

HT Home Win47.5%

HT/FT Home/Home38.8%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Away Win28.6%

HT Draw23.9%

HT Under 1.520.6%

HT/FT Away/Away17.5%

Equal Goals Each Half15.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.9%

HT/FT Away/Home6.2%

HT Under 0.55.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Away3.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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