USA · Major League Soccer

DC United vs Los Angeles FC

Kick-off 00:30 · Sun, Aug 30

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

47% confidence

DC United 33.6% Draw 19.3% Los Angeles FC 47.1%

Over 2.5 - 87% BTTS - 84%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

84%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

81%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Los Angeles FC: 6 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.5%

Exact-score model probability

DC United

L L D D W D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 7:11 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.83

Los Angeles FC

D L L D W W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 9:5 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

DC United win33.6%

Draw19.3%

Los Angeles FC win47.1%

Over 1.5 goals96.5%

Over 2.5 goals87.4%

Over 3.5 goals73.3%

Both teams to score84.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

92.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

92.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

90.5%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.583.7%

Goal in Both Halves83.7%

Home or Away (12)81.6%

Draw or Away (X2)65.7%

Draw No Bet - Away58.2%

Home or Draw (1X)52.2%

Away Win47.5%

Draw No Bet - Home41.8%

Home Win34.1%

Draw18.1%

Exactly 1 Goal3.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.1%

Over 1.5 Goals95.7%

Over 2.5 Goals87.2%

Over 3.5 Goals73.1%

4+ Goals73.1%

Under 5.5 Goals62.0%

Over 4.5 Goals55.6%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 4.5 Goals44.4%

2-4 Goals40.1%

Over 5.5 Goals38.0%

3-4 Goals31.7%

Under 3.5 Goals26.9%

1-3 Goals25.9%

2-3 Goals22.5%

Exactly 3 Goals14.1%

Under 2.5 Goals12.8%

1-2 Goals11.9%

Exactly 2 Goals8.5%

Under 1.5 Goals4.3%

Under 0.5 Goals0.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score93.0%

Home Team to Score89.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)83.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)16.3%

Away Clean Sheet10.0%

Away Win to Nil9.3%

Home Clean Sheet6.8%

Home Win to Nil6.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.593.0%

Home Over 0.589.7%

Away Over 1.574.8%

Home Over 1.566.7%

Away Over 2.550.2%

Away 3+ Goals50.2%

Home Over 2.540.3%

Home 3+ Goals40.3%

Home Exactly 226.5%

Away Exactly 224.5%

Home Exactly 123.0%

Away Exactly 118.2%

Home Exactly 010.0%

Away Exactly 06.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)92.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home92.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)90.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away90.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)83.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home83.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)80.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away80.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)69.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home69.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)65.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away65.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)52.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home52.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)47.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)34.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)30.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away30.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)19.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home19.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.5%

Away to win by 117.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)16.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away16.4%

Away to win by 3+16.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.0%

Home to win by 115.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.6%

Away to win by 213.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw9.9%

Home to win by 29.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)9.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home9.2%

Home to win by 3+9.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw8.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)7.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away7.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.579.4%

Away & Over 2.543.3%

Away & BTTS38.2%

Home & Over 2.530.7%

Home & BTTS28.0%

Draw & BTTS17.4%

Draw & Over 2.513.2%

Away & No BTTS9.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.58.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.8%

Home & No BTTS6.1%

Draw & Under 2.54.9%

Away & Under 2.54.3%

BTTS & Under 2.54.2%

Home & Under 2.53.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.4%

HT Over 1.565.7%

2nd Half More Goals49.6%

HT Both Teams Score45.3%

HT Away Win40.1%

HT Under 1.534.3%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Home Win31.3%

HT/FT Away/Away30.9%

HT Draw28.6%

HT/FT Home/Home21.1%

Equal Goals Each Half18.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.1%

HT Under 0.510.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Away4.7%

HT/FT Away/Home3.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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