USA · Major League Soccer

DC United vs New England Revolution

Kick-off 00:30 · Thu, Aug 20

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

68% confidence

DC United 68.1% Draw 16.2% New England Revolution 15.7%

Over 2.5 - 84% BTTS - 76%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 7.4%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to DC United: 10 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.4%

Exact-score model probability

DC United

D D W D D W

Form 2-4-0 Goals 12:10 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.67

New England Revolution

L L D W D L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 7:8 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

DC United win68.1%

Draw16.2%

New England Revolution win15.7%

Over 1.5 goals95.2%

Over 2.5 goals84.3%

Over 3.5 goals68.3%

Both teams to score75.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

91.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

91.2%

Under 5.5 Cards

88.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)84.5%

Home or Draw (1X)83.3%

Both Halves Over 0.581.0%

Goal in Both Halves81.0%

Draw No Bet - Home80.8%

Home Win68.3%

Draw or Away (X2)31.2%

Draw No Bet - Away19.2%

Away Win16.2%

Draw15.0%

Exactly 1 Goal4.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.6%

Over 1.5 Goals94.2%

Over 2.5 Goals83.9%

Over 3.5 Goals68.0%

4+ Goals68.0%

Under 5.5 Goals67.9%

Under 4.5 Goals50.6%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Over 4.5 Goals49.4%

2-4 Goals44.8%

3-4 Goals34.5%

Over 5.5 Goals32.1%

Under 3.5 Goals32.0%

1-3 Goals30.6%

2-3 Goals26.2%

Under 2.5 Goals16.1%

Exactly 3 Goals15.9%

1-2 Goals14.6%

Exactly 2 Goals10.2%

Under 1.5 Goals5.8%

Under 0.5 Goals1.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.1%

Away Team to Score78.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)74.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)25.2%

Home Clean Sheet21.2%

Home Win to Nil20.2%

Away Clean Sheet4.4%

Away Win to Nil3.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.1%

Home Over 1.581.3%

Away Over 0.578.3%

Home Over 2.559.8%

Home 3+ Goals59.8%

Away Over 1.545.6%

Away Exactly 132.8%

Away Exactly 225.4%

Home Exactly 221.5%

Away Exactly 021.2%

Away Over 2.520.2%

Away 3+ Goals20.2%

Home Exactly 113.8%

Home Exactly 04.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)92.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home92.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)91.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away91.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)83.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home83.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)82.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away82.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)68.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)68.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away68.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)49.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away49.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)49.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home49.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)31.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home31.5%

Home to win by 3+31.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)31.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away31.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.7%

Home to win by 118.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.1%

Home to win by 218.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)17.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home17.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)16.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.3%

Away to win by 19.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)8.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home8.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)6.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away6.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.5%

Away to win by 24.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.5%

Away to win by 3+2.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.570.3%

Home & Over 2.560.8%

Home & BTTS48.1%

Home & No BTTS20.2%

Draw & BTTS14.0%

Away & Over 2.513.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.6%

Away & BTTS12.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.511.0%

Draw & Over 2.59.5%

Home & Under 2.57.5%

Draw & Under 2.55.5%

BTTS & Under 2.54.5%

Away & No BTTS3.5%

Away & Under 2.52.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.7%

HT Over 1.562.0%

HT Home Win54.0%

2nd Half More Goals49.0%

HT/FT Home/Home47.9%

HT Under 1.538.0%

HT Both Teams Score37.8%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw27.5%

Equal Goals Each Half18.7%

HT Away Win18.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.9%

HT Under 0.512.3%

HT/FT Away/Away9.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home5.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Away1.8%

Corners (12)

Over 8.5 Corners75.3%

Home Over 4.5 Corners75.2%

Home Most Corners64.7%

Over 9.5 Corners64.1%

Under 11.5 Corners59.9%

Over 10.5 Corners52.0%

Under 10.5 Corners48.0%

Away Over 4.5 Corners47.6%

Over 11.5 Corners40.1%

Under 9.5 Corners35.9%

Under 8.5 Corners24.7%

Away Most Corners24.5%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards88.4%

Under 4.5 Cards76.4%

Over 2.5 Cards63.9%

Under 3.5 Cards58.2%

Over 3.5 Cards41.8%

Under 2.5 Cards36.1%

Over 4.5 Cards23.6%

Over 0.5 Red Cards13.2%

Over 5.5 Cards11.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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