USA · Major League Soccer

DC United vs New York Red Bulls

Kick-off 00:30 · Thu, Oct 15

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

50% confidence

DC United 49.8% Draw 19.4% New York Red Bulls 30.8%

Over 2.5 - 86% BTTS - 83%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

83%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

81%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to DC United: 6 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.6%

Exact-score model probability

DC United

D D W L L D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 6:10 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.67

New York Red Bulls

L D L W L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 5:11 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

DC United win49.8%

Draw19.4%

New York Red Bulls win30.8%

Over 1.5 goals96.0%

Over 2.5 goals86.1%

Over 3.5 goals71.1%

Both teams to score82.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

92.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

92.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

91.3%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.582.5%

Goal in Both Halves82.5%

Home or Away (12)81.6%

Home or Draw (1X)68.4%

Draw No Bet - Home61.6%

Home Win50.2%

Draw or Away (X2)49.5%

Draw No Bet - Away38.4%

Away Win31.4%

Draw18.2%

Exactly 1 Goal3.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.0%

Over 1.5 Goals95.1%

Over 2.5 Goals85.9%

Over 3.5 Goals70.9%

4+ Goals70.9%

Under 5.5 Goals64.7%

Over 4.5 Goals52.8%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 4.5 Goals47.2%

2-4 Goals42.3%

Over 5.5 Goals35.3%

3-4 Goals33.0%

Under 3.5 Goals29.1%

1-3 Goals28.1%

2-3 Goals24.2%

Exactly 3 Goals15.0%

Under 2.5 Goals14.1%

1-2 Goals13.1%

Exactly 2 Goals9.3%

Under 1.5 Goals4.9%

Under 0.5 Goals1.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.0%

Away Team to Score88.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)82.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)17.9%

Home Clean Sheet11.7%

Home Win to Nil10.9%

Away Clean Sheet6.8%

Away Win to Nil6.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.0%

Away Over 0.588.1%

Home Over 1.574.8%

Away Over 1.563.1%

Home Over 2.550.2%

Home 3+ Goals50.2%

Away Over 2.536.2%

Away 3+ Goals36.2%

Away Exactly 226.9%

Away Exactly 125.0%

Home Exactly 224.5%

Home Exactly 118.2%

Away Exactly 011.7%

Home Exactly 06.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)91.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away91.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)82.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home82.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)82.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away82.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)68.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home68.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)67.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away67.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)50.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)49.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away49.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)32.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home32.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)31.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.1%

Home to win by 118.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)17.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home17.8%

Home to win by 3+17.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)16.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away16.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.4%

Home to win by 214.4%

Away to win by 114.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.1%

Away to win by 29.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)8.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home8.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)7.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away7.8%

Away to win by 3+7.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.577.5%

Home & Over 2.545.2%

Home & BTTS39.4%

Away & Over 2.527.8%

Away & BTTS25.4%

Draw & BTTS17.4%

Draw & Over 2.512.8%

Home & No BTTS10.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.59.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.3%

Away & No BTTS6.0%

Draw & Under 2.55.4%

Home & Under 2.55.0%

BTTS & Under 2.54.6%

Away & Under 2.53.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.7%

HT Over 1.564.0%

2nd Half More Goals49.3%

HT Both Teams Score43.5%

HT Home Win41.7%

HT Under 1.536.0%

HT/FT Home/Home32.9%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Away Win29.3%

HT Draw29.0%

HT/FT Away/Away19.2%

Equal Goals Each Half18.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.8%

HT Under 0.511.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away3.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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