Spain · La Liga

Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche

Kick-off 20:00 · Mon, Aug 17

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

50% confidence

Deportivo La Coruna 49.8% Draw 25.7% Elche 24.5%

Over 2.5 - 59% BTTS - 61%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 5.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.6%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.6%

Exact-score model probability

Deportivo La Coruna

No recent results stored yet

Elche

D W L D L W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 7:8 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Deportivo La Coruna win49.8%

Draw25.7%

Elche win24.5%

Over 1.5 goals82.3%

Over 2.5 goals58.9%

Over 3.5 goals36.5%

Both teams to score60.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

91.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

89.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

89.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)77.0%

Home or Draw (1X)74.2%

Draw No Bet - Home66.5%

Both Halves Over 0.560.8%

Goal in Both Halves60.8%

Home Win51.2%

Draw or Away (X2)48.8%

Draw No Bet - Away33.5%

Away Win25.8%

Draw23.0%

Exactly 1 Goal14.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.3%

Under 5.5 Goals91.1%

Over 1.5 Goals80.9%

Under 4.5 Goals80.6%

Under 3.5 Goals63.5%

2-4 Goals61.5%

Over 2.5 Goals58.9%

1-3 Goals58.8%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals44.4%

Under 2.5 Goals41.1%

3-4 Goals39.5%

Over 3.5 Goals36.5%

4+ Goals36.5%

1-2 Goals36.4%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals22.0%

Over 4.5 Goals19.4%

Under 1.5 Goals19.1%

Over 5.5 Goals8.9%

Under 0.5 Goals4.7%

Exactly 0 Goals4.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score83.8%

Away Team to Score70.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)59.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)40.6%

Home Clean Sheet29.2%

Home Win to Nil24.5%

Away Clean Sheet16.2%

Away Win to Nil11.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.583.8%

Away Over 0.570.8%

Home Over 1.554.4%

Away Exactly 135.9%

Away Over 1.534.9%

Home Exactly 129.5%

Away Exactly 029.2%

Home Over 2.527.5%

Home 3+ Goals27.5%

Home Exactly 226.8%

Away Exactly 222.1%

Home Exactly 016.2%

Away Over 2.512.8%

Away 3+ Goals12.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)89.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home89.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)87.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away87.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)74.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home74.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)71.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away71.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)51.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)48.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away48.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)28.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home28.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)25.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.6%

Home to win by 122.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.6%

Home to win by 215.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.3%

Away to win by 115.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)13.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home13.0%

Home to win by 3+13.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)10.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away10.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.1%

Away to win by 27.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.4%

Away to win by 3+3.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.548.8%

Home & Over 2.534.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.530.5%

Home & BTTS26.8%

Home & No BTTS24.5%

Draw & BTTS18.2%

Home & Under 2.516.4%

Away & Over 2.516.4%

Draw & Under 2.515.3%

Away & BTTS14.4%

Away & No BTTS11.5%

BTTS & Under 2.510.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.1%

Away & Under 2.59.4%

Draw & Over 2.57.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.574.7%

HT Under 1.560.1%

2nd Half More Goals44.8%

HT Over 1.539.9%

HT Home Win38.9%

HT Draw38.2%

HT/FT Home/Home32.0%

1st Half More Goals31.5%

HT Under 0.525.3%

HT Both Teams Score23.8%

Equal Goals Each Half23.8%

HT Away Win22.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.1%

HT/FT Away/Away14.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home3.1%

HT/FT Home/Away1.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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