Spain · La Liga

Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna

Kick-off 21:00 · Mon, Nov 2

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

50% confidence

Deportivo La Coruna 49.7% Draw 27.8% Osasuna 22.4%

Over 2.5 - 41% BTTS - 69%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

80%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

69%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 7.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Osasuna: 3 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.1%

Exact-score model probability

Deportivo La Coruna

L D L D L D

Form 0-3-3 Goals 5:8 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.33

Osasuna

L W L D L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 4:14 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 2.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Deportivo La Coruna win49.7%

Draw27.8%

Osasuna win22.4%

Over 1.5 goals67.5%

Over 2.5 goals40.5%

Over 3.5 goals20.2%

Both teams to score68.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

91.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

91.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

91.6%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home93.0%

Home or Draw (1X)91.6%

Home or Away (12)89.3%

Both Halves Over 0.585.2%

Goal in Both Halves85.2%

Home Win83.0%

Draw or Away (X2)14.8%

Draw8.6%

Draw No Bet - Away7.0%

Away Win6.2%

Exactly 1 Goal2.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.3%

Over 1.5 Goals94.4%

Over 2.5 Goals86.9%

Over 3.5 Goals74.0%

4+ Goals74.0%

Under 5.5 Goals60.3%

Over 4.5 Goals57.2%

Total Goals Even49.0%

Total Goals Odd48.9%

Under 4.5 Goals42.8%

Over 5.5 Goals39.7%

2-4 Goals37.2%

3-4 Goals29.7%

Under 3.5 Goals26.0%

1-3 Goals23.3%

2-3 Goals20.4%

Under 2.5 Goals13.1%

Exactly 3 Goals12.9%

1-2 Goals10.3%

Exactly 2 Goals7.5%

Under 1.5 Goals5.6%

Under 0.5 Goals2.7%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.0%

Away Team to Score68.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)66.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)33.3%

Home Clean Sheet29.8%

Home Win to Nil29.3%

Away Clean Sheet1.8%

Away Win to Nil1.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.0%

Home Over 1.588.8%

Home Over 2.574.2%

Home 3+ Goals74.2%

Away Over 0.568.0%

Away Exactly 135.4%

Away Over 1.532.6%

Away Exactly 029.8%

Away Exactly 221.0%

Home Exactly 214.6%

Away Over 2.511.5%

Away 3+ Goals11.5%

Home Exactly 17.3%

Home Exactly 01.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)91.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home91.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)88.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)83.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)77.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away77.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)69.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home69.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)63.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away63.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)51.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home51.9%

Home to win by 3+51.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)45.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away45.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)34.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home34.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)28.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away28.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)20.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home20.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.3%

Home to win by 217.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)14.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away14.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw14.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.8%

Home to win by 113.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw10.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)9.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home9.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw4.1%

Away to win by 14.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.5%

Away to win by 21.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.6%

Away to win by 3+0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.576.4%

BTTS & Over 2.564.1%

Home & BTTS53.8%

Home & No BTTS29.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.522.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.58.3%

Draw & BTTS8.0%

Home & Under 2.56.7%

Draw & Over 2.55.4%

Away & Over 2.55.2%

Away & BTTS4.9%

Draw & Under 2.53.2%

BTTS & Under 2.52.6%

Away & No BTTS1.3%

Away & Under 2.51.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.4%

HT Home Win68.3%

HT Over 1.567.8%

HT/FT Home/Home65.1%

2nd Half More Goals50.0%

HT Both Teams Score34.6%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.532.2%

HT Draw21.4%

Equal Goals Each Half17.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.6%

HT Away Win10.3%

HT Under 0.59.6%

HT/FT Away/Home4.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Away/Away3.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.0%

HT/FT Home/Away0.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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