Spain · La Liga

Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Betis

Kick-off 17:30 · Sun, Sep 20

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

42% confidence

Deportivo La Coruna 41.5% Draw 26.7% Real Betis 31.8%

Over 2.5 - 48% BTTS - 80%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

80%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

74%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

73%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 6.8%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Real Betis: 9 points versus 15 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.8%

Exact-score model probability

Deportivo La Coruna

L D W W D D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.17

Real Betis

W W W W L W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 10:8 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Deportivo La Coruna win41.5%

Draw26.7%

Real Betis win31.8%

Over 1.5 goals73.6%

Over 2.5 goals48.2%

Over 3.5 goals26.5%

Both teams to score80.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

88.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

88.7%

HT Over 0.5

88.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)82.8%

Both Halves Over 0.581.7%

Goal in Both Halves81.7%

Home or Draw (1X)76.9%

Draw No Bet - Home72.6%

Home Win60.1%

Draw or Away (X2)39.6%

Draw No Bet - Away27.4%

Away Win22.7%

Draw16.9%

Exactly 1 Goal4.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.8%

Over 1.5 Goals94.7%

Over 2.5 Goals84.9%

Over 3.5 Goals69.4%

4+ Goals69.4%

Under 5.5 Goals66.3%

Over 4.5 Goals51.1%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Under 4.5 Goals48.9%

2-4 Goals43.6%

3-4 Goals33.8%

Over 5.5 Goals33.7%

Under 3.5 Goals30.6%

1-3 Goals29.4%

2-3 Goals25.2%

Exactly 3 Goals15.5%

Under 2.5 Goals15.1%

1-2 Goals13.9%

Exactly 2 Goals9.8%

Under 1.5 Goals5.3%

Under 0.5 Goals1.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.3%

Away Team to Score83.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)79.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)20.9%

Home Clean Sheet16.0%

Home Win to Nil15.2%

Away Clean Sheet5.4%

Away Win to Nil4.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.3%

Away Over 0.583.6%

Home Over 1.578.5%

Home Over 2.555.6%

Home 3+ Goals55.6%

Away Over 1.554.3%

Away Exactly 129.3%

Away Over 2.527.6%

Away 3+ Goals27.6%

Away Exactly 226.8%

Home Exactly 223.0%

Away Exactly 016.0%

Home Exactly 115.7%

Home Exactly 05.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)86.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away86.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)76.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home76.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)75.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away75.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)60.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)58.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away58.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)41.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home41.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)39.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away39.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)24.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home24.6%

Home to win by 3+24.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)22.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.8%

Home to win by 118.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.6%

Home to win by 216.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)12.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home12.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.8%

Away to win by 111.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)10.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away10.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.5%

Away to win by 26.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.4%

Away to win by 3+4.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.574.5%

Home & Over 2.553.9%

Home & BTTS44.9%

Away & Over 2.519.7%

Away & BTTS18.2%

Draw & BTTS16.0%

Home & No BTTS15.2%

Draw & Over 2.511.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.1%

Home & Under 2.56.2%

Draw & Under 2.55.5%

BTTS & Under 2.54.6%

Away & No BTTS4.5%

Away & Under 2.53.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.2%

HT Over 1.563.0%

2nd Half More Goals49.2%

HT Home Win48.2%

HT Both Teams Score41.0%

HT/FT Home/Home40.7%

HT Under 1.537.0%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw28.5%

HT Away Win23.4%

Equal Goals Each Half18.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.6%

HT/FT Away/Away13.5%

HT Under 0.511.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.7%

HT/FT Away/Home5.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Away2.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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