Spain · La Liga

Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla

Kick-off 18:00 · Wed, Sep 16

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

52% confidence

Deportivo La Coruna 52.2% Draw 25.2% Sevilla 22.6%

Over 2.5 - 49% BTTS - 79%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

79%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

77%

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.2%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Sevilla: 9 points versus 10 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.13 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.2%

Exact-score model probability

Deportivo La Coruna

D W W D D

Form 2-3-0 Goals 9:6 Scored/game 1.8 Conceded/game 1.2

Sevilla

W D L W W L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 8:7 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Deportivo La Coruna win52.2%

Draw25.2%

Sevilla win22.6%

Over 1.5 goals73.8%

Over 2.5 goals48.5%

Over 3.5 goals26.7%

Both teams to score79.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

91.4%

Home Over 0.5

91.4%

HT Over 0.5

86.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.8%

Both Halves Over 0.578.5%

Goal in Both Halves78.5%

Home or Draw (1X)69.2%

Draw No Bet - Home62.0%

Home Win50.1%

Draw or Away (X2)49.8%

Draw No Bet - Away38.0%

Away Win30.7%

Draw19.1%

Exactly 1 Goal5.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.6%

Over 1.5 Goals93.2%

Over 2.5 Goals81.3%

Under 5.5 Goals72.2%

Over 3.5 Goals63.8%

4+ Goals63.8%

Under 4.5 Goals55.3%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

2-4 Goals48.6%

Over 4.5 Goals44.7%

3-4 Goals36.6%

Under 3.5 Goals36.2%

1-3 Goals34.8%

2-3 Goals29.4%

Over 5.5 Goals27.8%

Under 2.5 Goals18.7%

Exactly 3 Goals17.5%

1-2 Goals17.3%

Exactly 2 Goals11.9%

Under 1.5 Goals6.8%

Under 0.5 Goals1.4%

Exactly 0 Goals1.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score91.4%

Away Team to Score85.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)78.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)21.9%

Home Clean Sheet14.5%

Home Win to Nil13.2%

Away Clean Sheet8.5%

Away Win to Nil7.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.591.4%

Away Over 0.585.4%

Home Over 1.570.4%

Away Over 1.557.4%

Home Over 2.544.6%

Home 3+ Goals44.6%

Away Over 2.530.4%

Away 3+ Goals30.4%

Away Exactly 128.0%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 225.8%

Home Exactly 121.0%

Away Exactly 014.5%

Home Exactly 08.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)84.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home84.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)83.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away83.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)69.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home69.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)68.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away68.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)50.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)49.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away49.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)31.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home31.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)30.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.9%

Home to win by 118.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)16.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home16.6%

Home to win by 3+16.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)15.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away15.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.8%

Away to win by 114.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.6%

Home to win by 214.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.0%

Away to win by 29.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.9%

Away to win by 3+6.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.572.3%

Home & Over 2.543.3%

Home & BTTS36.8%

Away & Over 2.526.0%

Away & BTTS23.4%

Draw & BTTS17.9%

Home & No BTTS13.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.512.7%

Draw & Over 2.512.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.1%

Away & No BTTS7.3%

Draw & Under 2.57.1%

Home & Under 2.56.8%

BTTS & Under 2.55.9%

Away & Under 2.54.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.2%

HT Over 1.558.8%

2nd Half More Goals48.4%

HT Under 1.541.2%

HT Home Win40.9%

HT Both Teams Score38.9%

HT/FT Home/Home32.4%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw30.8%

HT Away Win28.4%

Equal Goals Each Half19.3%

HT/FT Away/Away18.6%

HT Under 0.513.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home4.4%

HT/FT Home/Away3.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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