Spain · La Liga

Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia

Kick-off 18:30 · Sun, Aug 30

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

45% confidence

Deportivo La Coruna 44.7% Draw 27.5% Valencia 27.8%

Over 2.5 - 41% BTTS - 57%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

73%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 12.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.1%

Exact-score model probability

Deportivo La Coruna

D D

Form 0-2-0 Goals 2:2 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1

Valencia

L D W W D W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 9:6 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Deportivo La Coruna win44.7%

Draw27.5%

Valencia win27.8%

Over 1.5 goals67.5%

Over 2.5 goals41.2%

Over 3.5 goals20.7%

Both teams to score57.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

85.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

83.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

83.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)74.4%

Draw or Away (X2)63.0%

Home or Draw (1X)62.5%

Both Halves Over 0.555.3%

Goal in Both Halves55.3%

Draw No Bet - Away50.3%

Draw No Bet - Home49.7%

Away Win37.5%

Home Win37.0%

Draw25.5%

Exactly 1 Goal17.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals93.9%

Over 0.5 Goals93.6%

Under 4.5 Goals85.6%

Over 1.5 Goals76.0%

Under 3.5 Goals70.3%

1-3 Goals63.9%

2-4 Goals61.6%

Over 2.5 Goals51.8%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 2.5 Goals48.2%

2-3 Goals46.3%

1-2 Goals41.8%

3-4 Goals37.4%

Over 3.5 Goals29.7%

4+ Goals29.7%

Exactly 2 Goals24.2%

Under 1.5 Goals24.0%

Exactly 3 Goals22.2%

Over 4.5 Goals14.4%

Under 0.5 Goals6.4%

Exactly 0 Goals6.4%

Over 5.5 Goals6.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score74.8%

Home Team to Score74.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)55.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)44.2%

Away Clean Sheet25.4%

Home Clean Sheet25.2%

Away Win to Nil19.0%

Home Win to Nil18.8%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.574.8%

Home Over 0.574.6%

Away Over 1.540.1%

Home Over 1.539.7%

Home Exactly 134.8%

Away Exactly 134.7%

Home Exactly 025.4%

Away Exactly 025.2%

Away Exactly 224.0%

Home Exactly 223.8%

Away Over 2.516.2%

Away 3+ Goals16.2%

Home Over 2.515.9%

Home 3+ Goals15.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)83.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away83.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)82.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home82.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)63.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away63.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)62.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home62.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)37.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)37.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.3%

Away to win by 120.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.1%

Home to win by 120.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)17.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away17.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)16.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home16.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.0%

Away to win by 211.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.8%

Home to win by 210.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.3%

Away to win by 3+6.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.1%

Home to win by 3+6.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.543.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.536.1%

Away & Over 2.522.6%

Home & Over 2.522.2%

Draw & BTTS19.2%

Away & No BTTS19.0%

Home & No BTTS18.8%

Draw & Under 2.518.5%

Away & BTTS18.4%

Home & BTTS18.2%

Away & Under 2.514.9%

Home & Under 2.514.8%

BTTS & Under 2.512.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.1%

Draw & Over 2.57.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.571.0%

HT Under 1.564.9%

2nd Half More Goals43.6%

HT Draw41.2%

HT Over 1.535.1%

1st Half More Goals31.1%

HT Away Win29.5%

HT Home Win29.2%

HT Under 0.529.0%

Equal Goals Each Half25.3%

HT/FT Away/Away22.0%

HT/FT Home/Home21.7%

HT Both Teams Score21.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw15.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Away/Home2.3%

HT/FT Home/Away2.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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