Russia · Premier League

Dinamo Makhachkala vs CSKA Moscow

Kick-off 18:45 · Thu, Sep 17

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

44% confidence

Dinamo Makhachkala 44.3% Draw 27.9% CSKA Moscow 27.8%

Over 2.5 - 53% BTTS - 57%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

85%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 11.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Dinamo Makhachkala: 15 points versus 14 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.7%

Exact-score model probability

Dinamo Makhachkala

W L W W W W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 12:6 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1

CSKA Moscow

W D D W W W

Form 4-2-0 Goals 9:4 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Dinamo Makhachkala win44.3%

Draw27.9%

CSKA Moscow win27.8%

Over 1.5 goals78.3%

Over 2.5 goals52.9%

Over 3.5 goals30.6%

Both teams to score57.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

90.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

90.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

87.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)75.1%

Home or Draw (1X)70.6%

Draw No Bet - Home60.9%

Both Halves Over 0.556.1%

Goal in Both Halves56.1%

Draw or Away (X2)54.2%

Home Win45.8%

Draw No Bet - Away39.1%

Away Win29.4%

Draw24.8%

Exactly 1 Goal17.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals93.9%

Under 5.5 Goals93.6%

Under 4.5 Goals84.9%

Over 1.5 Goals76.8%

Under 3.5 Goals69.4%

1-3 Goals63.2%

2-4 Goals61.6%

Over 2.5 Goals52.9%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 2.5 Goals47.1%

2-3 Goals46.1%

1-2 Goals41.0%

3-4 Goals37.8%

Over 3.5 Goals30.6%

4+ Goals30.6%

Exactly 2 Goals23.9%

Under 1.5 Goals23.2%

Exactly 3 Goals22.2%

Over 4.5 Goals15.1%

Over 5.5 Goals6.4%

Under 0.5 Goals6.1%

Exactly 0 Goals6.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score79.4%

Away Team to Score70.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)55.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)44.2%

Home Clean Sheet29.7%

Home Win to Nil23.6%

Away Clean Sheet20.6%

Away Win to Nil14.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.579.4%

Away Over 0.570.3%

Home Over 1.546.8%

Away Exactly 136.1%

Away Over 1.534.2%

Home Exactly 132.6%

Away Exactly 029.7%

Home Exactly 225.7%

Away Exactly 221.9%

Home Over 2.521.1%

Home 3+ Goals21.1%

Home Exactly 020.6%

Away Over 2.512.4%

Away 3+ Goals12.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)90.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away90.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)87.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home87.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)76.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away76.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)70.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home70.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)54.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away54.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)45.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)29.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)23.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home23.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.4%

Home to win by 122.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.2%

Away to win by 117.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.8%

Home to win by 213.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)12.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away12.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)9.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home9.5%

Home to win by 3+9.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.2%

Away to win by 28.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.9%

Away to win by 3+3.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.544.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.535.4%

Home & Over 2.528.5%

Home & No BTTS23.6%

Home & BTTS22.2%

Draw & BTTS18.7%

Draw & Under 2.517.9%

Away & Over 2.517.4%

Home & Under 2.517.3%

Away & BTTS14.8%

Away & No BTTS14.5%

Away & Under 2.512.0%

BTTS & Under 2.511.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.8%

Draw & Over 2.57.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.571.5%

HT Under 1.564.2%

2nd Half More Goals43.8%

HT Draw40.6%

HT Over 1.535.8%

HT Home Win34.8%

1st Half More Goals31.2%

HT Under 0.528.5%

HT/FT Home/Home27.8%

Equal Goals Each Half25.0%

HT Away Win24.6%

HT Both Teams Score21.4%

HT/FT Away/Away16.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw14.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home2.6%

HT/FT Home/Away1.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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