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Russia · Premier League

Dinamo Makhachkala vs FC Krasnodar

Kick-off 15:30 · Sun, Aug 23
📊 Our Prediction
Away +5.5 (Handicap)
39% confidence
Dinamo Makhachkala 34.2% Draw 26.8% FC Krasnodar 39.0%
Over 2.5 - 59% BTTS - 63%
🎯 Best Pick
Over 1.5 Goals
Goal-line projection
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
82%
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Home or Away (12)
Double chance from Poisson
73%
Both Teams Score
BTTS Poisson estimate
63%
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.9%, based on the goal model.
Goal-line projection
Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.17 goals scored per match.
Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)
Most likely score
1-1
Top Poisson scoreline
Scoreline probability
10.9%
Exact-score model probability
Dinamo Makhachkala
W L W W W W
Form 5-0-1 Goals 12:6 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1
FC Krasnodar
W W W W W L
Form 5-0-1 Goals 13:6 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Dinamo Makhachkala win34.2%
Draw26.8%
FC Krasnodar win39.0%
Over 1.5 goals82.4%
Over 2.5 goals59.1%
Over 3.5 goals36.7%
Both teams to score62.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)
91.9%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home
91.9%
Under 5.5 Goals
91.0%
Match Result (11)
Home or Away (12)76.0%
Draw or Away (X2)64.4%
Both Halves Over 0.560.9%
Goal in Both Halves60.9%
Home or Draw (1X)59.5%
Draw No Bet - Away53.2%
Draw No Bet - Home46.8%
Away Win40.4%
Home Win35.6%
Draw24.0%
Exactly 1 Goal14.3%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Over 0.5 Goals95.3%
Under 5.5 Goals91.0%
Over 1.5 Goals81.0%
Under 4.5 Goals80.4%
Under 3.5 Goals63.3%
2-4 Goals61.5%
Over 2.5 Goals59.1%
1-3 Goals58.6%
Total Goals Even50.1%
Total Goals Odd49.9%
2-3 Goals44.3%
Under 2.5 Goals40.9%
3-4 Goals39.5%
Over 3.5 Goals36.7%
4+ Goals36.7%
1-2 Goals36.2%
Exactly 3 Goals22.4%
Exactly 2 Goals21.9%
Over 4.5 Goals19.6%
Under 1.5 Goals19.0%
Over 5.5 Goals9.0%
Under 0.5 Goals4.7%
Exactly 0 Goals4.7%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Away Team to Score79.6%
Home Team to Score77.1%
Both Teams Score (GG)61.4%
No Both Teams Score (NG)38.6%
Away Clean Sheet22.9%
Home Clean Sheet20.4%
Away Win to Nil18.2%
Home Win to Nil15.8%
Team Goals (14)
Away Over 0.579.6%
Home Over 0.577.1%
Away Over 1.547.1%
Home Over 1.543.4%
Home Exactly 133.7%
Away Exactly 132.4%
Away Exactly 225.8%
Home Exactly 224.9%
Home Exactly 022.9%
Away Over 2.521.3%
Away 3+ Goals21.3%
Away Exactly 020.4%
Home Over 2.518.5%
Home 3+ Goals18.5%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%
Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%
Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.5%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.2%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.0%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.0%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.3%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.3%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.7%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.7%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)91.9%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home91.9%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)83.2%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away83.2%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)79.8%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home79.8%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)64.4%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away64.4%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)59.5%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home59.5%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)40.4%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)35.6%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)20.2%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.2%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away20.2%
Away to win by 120.2%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.8%
Home to win by 118.8%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)16.8%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home16.8%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.1%
Away to win by 212.1%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.4%
Home to win by 210.4%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)8.1%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away8.1%
Away to win by 3+8.1%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.3%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.3%
Home to win by 3+6.3%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.4%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.4%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.7%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.7%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.0%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.0%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.9%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.5%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.8%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.5%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%
Combos (15)
BTTS & Over 2.550.4%
No BTTS & Under 2.530.0%
Away & Over 2.527.1%
Home & Over 2.523.6%
Away & BTTS22.3%
Home & BTTS19.8%
Draw & BTTS19.3%
Away & No BTTS18.2%
Home & No BTTS15.8%
Draw & Under 2.515.6%
Away & Under 2.513.3%
Home & Under 2.512.0%
BTTS & Under 2.510.9%
No BTTS & Over 2.58.7%
Draw & Over 2.58.4%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.574.8%
HT Under 1.559.9%
2nd Half More Goals44.8%
HT Over 1.540.1%
HT Draw38.6%
HT Away Win32.2%
1st Half More Goals31.5%
HT Home Win29.2%
HT Under 0.525.2%
HT Both Teams Score24.8%
HT/FT Away/Away24.4%
Equal Goals Each Half23.7%
HT/FT Home/Home21.1%
HT/FT Draw/Away13.4%
HT/FT Draw/Draw13.2%
HT/FT Draw/Home12.0%
HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%
HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%
HT/FT Home/Away2.7%
HT/FT Away/Home2.5%
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
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