Russia · Premier League

Dinamo Makhachkala vs Rodina Moskva

Kick-off 14:15 · Sun, Sep 6

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

88% confidence

Dinamo Makhachkala 87.6% Draw 7.7% Rodina Moskva 4.7%

Over 2.5 - 92% BTTS - 69%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

92%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

88%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-1 at 6.9%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Dinamo Makhachkala: 15 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.40 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.9%

Exact-score model probability

Dinamo Makhachkala

W L W W W W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 12:6 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1

Rodina Moskva

L D W L L

Form 1-1-3 Goals 7:14 Scored/game 1.4 Conceded/game 2.8

📈 Probability Breakdown

Dinamo Makhachkala win87.6%

Draw7.7%

Rodina Moskva win4.7%

Over 1.5 goals97.7%

Over 2.5 goals91.5%

Over 3.5 goals80.3%

Both teams to score69.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

92.0%

Home or Draw (1X)

91.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

91.6%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home94.7%

Home or Draw (1X)91.6%

Home or Away (12)89.4%

Both Halves Over 0.587.8%

Goal in Both Halves87.8%

Home Win84.7%

Draw or Away (X2)11.7%

Draw6.9%

Draw No Bet - Away5.3%

Away Win4.7%

Exactly 1 Goal2.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.0%

Over 1.5 Goals93.9%

Over 2.5 Goals88.2%

Over 3.5 Goals77.4%

4+ Goals77.4%

Over 4.5 Goals62.3%

Under 5.5 Goals54.7%

Total Goals Even48.2%

Total Goals Odd48.1%

Over 5.5 Goals45.3%

Under 4.5 Goals37.7%

2-4 Goals31.7%

3-4 Goals25.9%

Under 3.5 Goals22.6%

1-3 Goals18.6%

2-3 Goals16.5%

Under 2.5 Goals11.8%

Exactly 3 Goals10.8%

1-2 Goals7.8%

Under 1.5 Goals6.1%

Exactly 2 Goals5.8%

Under 0.5 Goals4.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.1%

Away Team to Score67.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)66.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)33.8%

Home Clean Sheet29.3%

Home Win to Nil28.9%

Away Clean Sheet1.2%

Away Win to Nil0.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.1%

Home Over 1.589.8%

Home Over 2.578.0%

Home 3+ Goals78.0%

Away Over 0.567.0%

Away Exactly 134.9%

Away Over 1.532.2%

Away Exactly 029.3%

Away Exactly 220.8%

Home Exactly 211.8%

Away Over 2.511.4%

Away 3+ Goals11.4%

Home Exactly 15.3%

Home Exactly 01.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)91.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home91.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)84.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)83.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)72.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home72.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)71.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away71.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)57.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home57.1%

Home to win by 3+57.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)56.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away56.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)40.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home40.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)39.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away39.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)24.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home24.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)23.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away23.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.8%

Home to win by 215.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw15.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)12.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home12.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.8%

Home to win by 111.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)11.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away11.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw11.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)4.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw3.2%

Away to win by 13.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.1%

Away to win by 21.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.4%

Away to win by 3+0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.579.5%

BTTS & Over 2.564.3%

Home & BTTS55.7%

Home & No BTTS28.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.523.9%

Draw & BTTS6.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.56.3%

Home & Under 2.55.2%

Draw & Over 2.54.6%

Away & Over 2.54.1%

Away & BTTS3.9%

Draw & Under 2.52.3%

BTTS & Under 2.51.9%

Away & No BTTS0.8%

Away & Under 2.50.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.0%

HT Home Win71.9%

HT Over 1.571.7%

HT/FT Home/Home69.3%

2nd Half More Goals50.6%

HT Both Teams Score35.8%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.528.3%

HT Draw19.1%

Equal Goals Each Half16.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.6%

HT Away Win8.9%

HT Under 0.58.0%

HT/FT Away/Home4.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw2.9%

HT/FT Away/Away2.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.5%

HT/FT Home/Away0.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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