England · League Cup

Doncaster vs Middlesbrough

Kick-off 19:30 · Tue, Aug 25

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

53% confidence

Doncaster 53.1% Draw 26.6% Middlesbrough 20.3%

Over 2.5 - 51% BTTS - 54%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 11.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.3%

Exact-score model probability

Doncaster

Form 0-1-0 Goals 1:1 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1

Middlesbrough

L W W L L D

Form 2-1-3 Goals 5:6 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Doncaster win53.1%

Draw26.6%

Middlesbrough win20.3%

Over 1.5 goals77.2%

Over 2.5 goals51.4%

Over 3.5 goals29.3%

Both teams to score53.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

86.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

86.5%

Under 4.5 Goals

85.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)78.3%

Home or Away (12)76.3%

Draw No Bet - Home71.5%

Both Halves Over 0.555.0%

Goal in Both Halves55.0%

Home Win54.6%

Draw or Away (X2)45.4%

Draw No Bet - Away28.5%

Draw23.7%

Away Win21.7%

Exactly 1 Goal17.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals94.1%

Over 0.5 Goals93.5%

Under 4.5 Goals85.8%

Over 1.5 Goals75.7%

Under 3.5 Goals70.7%

1-3 Goals64.2%

2-4 Goals61.5%

Over 2.5 Goals51.4%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 2.5 Goals48.6%

2-3 Goals46.4%

1-2 Goals42.1%

3-4 Goals37.2%

Over 3.5 Goals29.3%

4+ Goals29.3%

Under 1.5 Goals24.3%

Exactly 2 Goals24.3%

Exactly 3 Goals22.1%

Over 4.5 Goals14.2%

Under 0.5 Goals6.5%

Exactly 0 Goals6.5%

Over 5.5 Goals5.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score82.3%

Away Team to Score63.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)52.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)48.0%

Home Clean Sheet36.8%

Home Win to Nil30.3%

Away Clean Sheet17.7%

Away Win to Nil11.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.582.3%

Away Over 0.563.2%

Home Over 1.551.7%

Away Exactly 036.8%

Away Exactly 136.8%

Home Exactly 130.6%

Home Exactly 226.5%

Away Over 1.526.4%

Home Over 2.525.1%

Home 3+ Goals25.1%

Away Exactly 218.4%

Home Exactly 017.7%

Away Over 2.58.0%

Away 3+ Goals8.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)92.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home92.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)86.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away86.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)78.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home78.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)69.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away69.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)54.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)45.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away45.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)30.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home30.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw24.3%

Home to win by 124.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)21.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.8%

Home to win by 216.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.0%

Away to win by 114.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)13.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home13.5%

Home to win by 3+13.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)7.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away7.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.6%

Away to win by 25.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.1%

Away to win by 3+2.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.540.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.537.3%

Home & Over 2.533.5%

Home & No BTTS30.3%

Home & BTTS24.3%

Home & Under 2.521.0%

Draw & Under 2.517.8%

Draw & BTTS17.2%

Away & Over 2.512.0%

BTTS & Under 2.511.3%

Away & No BTTS11.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.7%

Away & BTTS10.5%

Away & Under 2.59.8%

Draw & Over 2.55.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.570.8%

HT Under 1.565.2%

2nd Half More Goals43.6%

HT Draw40.4%

HT Home Win40.1%

HT Over 1.534.8%

HT/FT Home/Home34.1%

1st Half More Goals31.1%

HT Under 0.529.2%

Equal Goals Each Half25.4%

HT Both Teams Score19.6%

HT Away Win19.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw14.4%

HT/FT Away/Away12.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Away/Home2.8%

HT/FT Home/Away1.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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