UEFA Europa Conference League

Drita vs Floriana

Kick-off 19:00 · Tue, Jul 28

📊 Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

90% confidence

Drita 58.0% Draw 18.0% Floriana 24.0%

Over 2.5 - 90% BTTS - 85%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

High xG values

⚠️ AIs disagree

68%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score (GG)

Recent BTTS trend

85%

Home or Draw (1X)

Drita's home form

75%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Drita and Floriana have a recent history of drawing, with their last match ending 1-1. Drita's home form is decent, with 2 goals scored in their last home match. Floriana's away form is a concern, with 5 goals conceded in their last away match. With both teams scoring in their recent matches, this match is likely to see goals. 5 Goals is the strongest pick due to the high expected goals and recent scoring trends.

💡

Top Tip

Over 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Drita win58.0%

Draw18.0%

Floriana win24.0%

Over 1.5 goals97.3%

Over 2.5 goals89.9%

Over 3.5 goals77.2%

Both teams to score85.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

90.7%

Over 2.5 Goals

89.3%

Away Team to Score

88.7%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.585.8%

Goal in Both Halves85.8%

Home or Away (12)82.8%

Home or Draw (1X)72.0%

Draw No Bet - Home66.7%

Home Win55.2%

Draw or Away (X2)44.3%

Draw No Bet - Away33.3%

Away Win27.5%

Draw16.8%

Exactly 1 Goal2.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.0%

Over 1.5 Goals96.3%

Over 2.5 Goals89.3%

Over 3.5 Goals76.8%

4+ Goals76.8%

Over 4.5 Goals60.4%

Under 5.5 Goals57.0%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Over 5.5 Goals43.0%

Under 4.5 Goals39.6%

2-4 Goals36.0%

3-4 Goals28.9%

Under 3.5 Goals23.2%

1-3 Goals22.2%

2-3 Goals19.5%

Exactly 3 Goals12.4%

Under 2.5 Goals10.7%

1-2 Goals9.7%

Exactly 2 Goals7.1%

Under 1.5 Goals3.7%

Under 0.5 Goals1.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.9%

Away Team to Score88.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)84.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)15.4%

Home Clean Sheet10.8%

Home Win to Nil10.3%

Away Clean Sheet4.7%

Away Win to Nil4.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.9%

Away Over 0.588.7%

Home Over 1.580.6%

Away Over 1.564.7%

Home Over 2.558.7%

Home 3+ Goals58.7%

Away Over 2.538.1%

Away 3+ Goals38.1%

Away Exactly 226.6%

Away Exactly 124.0%

Home Exactly 221.9%

Home Exactly 114.3%

Away Exactly 010.8%

Home Exactly 04.7%

Handicap & Margin (12)

Home +1.5 (Handicap)84.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)62.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)37.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)22.4%

Home to win by 3+22.4%

Home to win by 117.7%

Home to win by 215.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)14.7%

Away to win by 112.8%

Away to win by 28.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.8%

Away to win by 3+6.8%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.581.1%

Home & Over 2.551.3%

Home & BTTS44.9%

Away & Over 2.525.2%

Away & BTTS23.4%

Draw & BTTS16.3%

Draw & Over 2.512.8%

Home & No BTTS10.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.56.8%

Away & No BTTS4.1%

Home & Under 2.53.9%

Draw & Under 2.53.9%

BTTS & Under 2.53.4%

Away & Under 2.52.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.7%

HT Over 1.568.7%

2nd Half More Goals50.2%

HT Both Teams Score47.3%

HT Home Win45.6%

HT/FT Home/Home37.2%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.531.3%

HT Draw27.2%

HT Away Win27.2%

Equal Goals Each Half17.4%

HT/FT Away/Away16.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.1%

HT Under 0.59.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.5%

HT/FT Away/Home5.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Away3.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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