Scotland · Premiership

Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Oct 24

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

44% confidence

Dundee Utd 43.9% Draw 26.9% Aberdeen 29.2%

Over 2.5 - 44% BTTS - 72%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

77%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

73%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.00 goals scored per match.

Head-to-head record: Dundee Utd 2 wins, 2 draws, Aberdeen 1 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.6%

Exact-score model probability

Dundee Utd

L L D D D L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 2:11 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 1.83

Aberdeen

L L L W L L

Form 1-0-5 Goals 4:12 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 2

Head to head · last 5

Dundee Utd 2wins ·2 draws ·Aberdeen 1wins

Dundee Utd 0-2 AberdeenMay 9, 2026

Dundee Utd 0-0 AberdeenFeb 24, 2026

Dundee Utd 1-1 AberdeenDec 27, 2025

Dundee Utd 2-0 AberdeenSep 23, 2025

Dundee Utd 2-1 AberdeenMay 17, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Dundee Utd win43.9%

Draw26.9%

Aberdeen win29.2%

Over 1.5 goals70.1%

Over 2.5 goals44.3%

Over 3.5 goals23.1%

Both teams to score72.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

90.6%

Home or Draw (1X)

85.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

85.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)85.7%

Home or Away (12)84.1%

Draw No Bet - Home83.2%

Both Halves Over 0.574.3%

Goal in Both Halves74.3%

Home Win70.0%

Draw or Away (X2)29.8%

Draw No Bet - Away16.8%

Draw15.7%

Away Win14.1%

Exactly 1 Goal7.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.9%

Over 1.5 Goals90.6%

Under 5.5 Goals78.7%

Over 2.5 Goals76.0%

Under 4.5 Goals63.0%

Over 3.5 Goals56.5%

4+ Goals56.5%

2-4 Goals53.7%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals43.5%

1-3 Goals41.4%

3-4 Goals39.1%

Over 4.5 Goals37.0%

2-3 Goals34.1%

Under 2.5 Goals24.0%

1-2 Goals21.9%

Over 5.5 Goals21.3%

Exactly 3 Goals19.5%

Exactly 2 Goals14.6%

Under 1.5 Goals9.4%

Under 0.5 Goals2.1%

Exactly 0 Goals1.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.6%

Away Team to Score70.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)65.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)34.2%

Home Clean Sheet29.6%

Home Win to Nil27.8%

Away Clean Sheet6.1%

Away Win to Nil4.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.6%

Home Over 1.576.5%

Away Over 0.570.2%

Home Over 2.552.6%

Home 3+ Goals52.6%

Away Exactly 136.0%

Away Over 1.534.2%

Away Exactly 029.6%

Home Exactly 223.9%

Away Exactly 221.8%

Home Exactly 117.1%

Away Over 2.512.3%

Away 3+ Goals12.3%

Home Exactly 06.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)92.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away92.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)85.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home85.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)83.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away83.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)70.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)69.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away69.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)50.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away50.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)49.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home49.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)30.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home30.4%

Home to win by 3+30.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)29.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away29.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.2%

Home to win by 120.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.4%

Home to win by 219.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)15.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home15.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)14.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.8%

Away to win by 18.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)7.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home7.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.7%

Away to win by 23.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.6%

Away to win by 3+1.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.559.7%

Home & Over 2.557.8%

Home & BTTS42.2%

Home & No BTTS27.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.517.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.516.4%

Draw & BTTS13.9%

Home & Under 2.512.2%

Away & Over 2.510.5%

Away & BTTS9.8%

Draw & Under 2.58.0%

Draw & Over 2.57.7%

BTTS & Under 2.56.2%

Away & No BTTS4.3%

Away & Under 2.53.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.583.5%

HT Home Win53.9%

HT Over 1.553.8%

HT/FT Home/Home48.5%

2nd Half More Goals47.5%

HT Under 1.546.2%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Both Teams Score30.1%

HT Draw29.9%

Equal Goals Each Half20.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.4%

HT Under 0.516.5%

HT Away Win16.2%

HT/FT Away/Away7.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.8%

HT/FT Away/Home4.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Away1.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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