Scotland · Premiership

Dundee Utd vs Motherwell

Kick-off 16:00 · Sat, Nov 7

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

46% confidence

Dundee Utd 28.2% Draw 25.7% Motherwell 46.1%

Over 2.5 - 48% BTTS - 73%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

74%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

74%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

73%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 9.6%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Motherwell: 3 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Dundee Utd 1 wins, 1 draws, Motherwell 3 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.6%

Exact-score model probability

Dundee Utd

L L D D D L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 2:11 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 1.83

Motherwell

W D L W D D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 10:7 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 5

Dundee Utd 1wins ·1 draws ·Motherwell 3wins

Dundee Utd 0-3 MotherwellSep 2, 2026

Dundee Utd 0-2 MotherwellFeb 28, 2026

Dundee Utd 0-0 MotherwellDec 13, 2025

Dundee Utd 0-2 MotherwellOct 29, 2025

Dundee Utd 1-0 MotherwellFeb 22, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Dundee Utd win28.2%

Draw25.7%

Motherwell win46.1%

Over 1.5 goals73.3%

Over 2.5 goals48.3%

Over 3.5 goals26.5%

Both teams to score72.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

92.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

92.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

91.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.6%

Draw or Away (X2)78.4%

Draw No Bet - Away72.9%

Both Halves Over 0.566.6%

Goal in Both Halves66.6%

Away Win58.0%

Home or Draw (1X)42.0%

Draw No Bet - Home27.1%

Home Win21.6%

Draw20.4%

Exactly 1 Goal11.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.7%

Under 5.5 Goals86.8%

Over 1.5 Goals85.5%

Under 4.5 Goals74.1%

Over 2.5 Goals66.4%

2-4 Goals59.6%

Under 3.5 Goals55.4%

1-3 Goals52.1%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals44.6%

4+ Goals44.6%

2-3 Goals40.9%

3-4 Goals40.5%

Under 2.5 Goals33.6%

1-2 Goals30.3%

Over 4.5 Goals25.9%

Exactly 3 Goals21.8%

Exactly 2 Goals19.1%

Under 1.5 Goals14.5%

Over 5.5 Goals13.2%

Under 0.5 Goals3.3%

Exactly 0 Goals3.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score88.5%

Home Team to Score71.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)63.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)36.7%

Away Clean Sheet28.4%

Away Win to Nil25.1%

Home Clean Sheet11.5%

Home Win to Nil8.2%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.588.5%

Home Over 0.571.5%

Away Over 1.563.6%

Away Over 2.536.7%

Away 3+ Goals36.7%

Home Over 1.535.8%

Home Exactly 135.7%

Home Exactly 028.4%

Away Exactly 226.9%

Away Exactly 124.9%

Home Exactly 222.5%

Home Over 2.513.3%

Home 3+ Goals13.3%

Away Exactly 011.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.2%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)92.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home92.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)91.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away91.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)81.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home81.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)78.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away78.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)64.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home64.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)58.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)42.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home42.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)35.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away35.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw22.2%

Away to win by 122.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)21.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)18.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away18.4%

Away to win by 3+18.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.4%

Away to win by 217.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.9%

Home to win by 112.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw10.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)8.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home8.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)7.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away7.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.9%

Home to win by 25.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.8%

Home to win by 3+2.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.554.4%

Away & Over 2.543.3%

Away & BTTS32.8%

Away & No BTTS25.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.524.7%

Draw & BTTS17.1%

Home & Over 2.514.9%

Away & Under 2.514.7%

Home & BTTS13.4%

Draw & Under 2.512.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.0%

BTTS & Under 2.58.9%

Draw & Over 2.58.2%

Home & No BTTS8.2%

Home & Under 2.56.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.578.6%

HT Under 1.554.5%

2nd Half More Goals45.9%

HT Over 1.545.5%

HT Away Win44.2%

HT/FT Away/Away37.6%

HT Draw35.0%

1st Half More Goals31.8%

HT Both Teams Score26.9%

Equal Goals Each Half22.2%

HT Under 0.521.4%

HT Home Win20.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away16.8%

HT/FT Home/Home12.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away3.7%

HT/FT Away/Home1.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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