Scotland · Premiership

Dundee vs Hibernian

Kick-off 15:00 · Sun, Aug 30

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

45% confidence

Dundee 28.8% Draw 25.9% Hibernian 45.3%

Over 2.5 - 52% BTTS - 62%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

80%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

74%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

62%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 9.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Dundee: 12 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.6%

Exact-score model probability

Dundee

W L W L W W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 10:6 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1

Hibernian

D D W W L W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 9:5 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.83

Head to head · last 5

Dundee 1wins ·1 draws ·Hibernian 3wins

Dundee 3-3 HibernianFeb 28, 2026

Dundee 0-2 HibernianNov 22, 2025

Dundee 1-2 HibernianAug 3, 2025

Dundee 0-4 HibernianApr 13, 2025

Dundee 4-1 HibernianNov 23, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Dundee win28.8%

Draw25.9%

Hibernian win45.3%

Over 1.5 goals76.6%

Over 2.5 goals52.0%

Over 3.5 goals29.8%

Both teams to score62.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

92.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

92.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

91.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)77.4%

Both Halves Over 0.566.4%

Goal in Both Halves66.4%

Home or Draw (1X)61.9%

Draw or Away (X2)60.7%

Draw No Bet - Home50.8%

Draw No Bet - Away49.2%

Home Win39.3%

Away Win38.1%

Draw22.6%

Exactly 1 Goal11.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.7%

Under 5.5 Goals86.9%

Over 1.5 Goals85.4%

Under 4.5 Goals74.2%

Over 2.5 Goals66.2%

2-4 Goals59.7%

Under 3.5 Goals55.6%

1-3 Goals52.3%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals44.4%

4+ Goals44.4%

2-3 Goals41.0%

3-4 Goals40.5%

Under 2.5 Goals33.8%

1-2 Goals30.5%

Over 4.5 Goals25.8%

Exactly 3 Goals21.8%

Exactly 2 Goals19.2%

Under 1.5 Goals14.6%

Over 5.5 Goals13.1%

Under 0.5 Goals3.3%

Exactly 0 Goals3.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score82.1%

Away Team to Score81.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)66.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)33.1%

Home Clean Sheet18.5%

Away Clean Sheet17.9%

Home Win to Nil15.1%

Away Win to Nil14.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.582.1%

Away Over 0.581.5%

Home Over 1.551.3%

Away Over 1.550.4%

Away Exactly 131.2%

Home Exactly 130.8%

Home Exactly 226.5%

Away Exactly 226.3%

Home Over 2.524.8%

Home 3+ Goals24.8%

Away Over 2.524.0%

Away 3+ Goals24.0%

Away Exactly 018.5%

Home Exactly 017.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)91.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away91.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)80.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home80.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)79.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away79.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)61.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home61.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)60.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away60.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)39.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)38.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)20.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home20.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)19.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away19.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.1%

Home to win by 119.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.7%

Away to win by 118.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.7%

Home to win by 211.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.3%

Away to win by 211.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)8.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home8.5%

Home to win by 3+8.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)8.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away8.0%

Away to win by 3+8.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.557.3%

Home & Over 2.528.7%

Away & Over 2.527.8%

Home & BTTS24.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.524.2%

Away & BTTS23.5%

Draw & BTTS19.3%

Home & No BTTS15.1%

Away & No BTTS14.6%

Draw & Under 2.512.9%

Home & Under 2.510.6%

Away & Under 2.510.3%

Draw & Over 2.59.7%

BTTS & Under 2.59.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.578.4%

HT Under 1.554.6%

2nd Half More Goals45.9%

HT Over 1.545.4%

HT Draw36.2%

HT Home Win32.3%

1st Half More Goals31.8%

HT Away Win31.5%

HT Both Teams Score28.7%

HT/FT Home/Home23.9%

HT/FT Away/Away23.0%

Equal Goals Each Half22.3%

HT Under 0.521.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home3.0%

HT/FT Home/Away2.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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