Germany · 2. Bundesliga

Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg

Kick-off 12:30 · Sun, Oct 18

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

46% confidence

Dynamo Dresden 45.8% Draw 28.1% 1. FC Magdeburg 26.1%

Over 2.5 - 51% BTTS - 56%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 11.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to 1. FC Magdeburg: 10 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.9%

Exact-score model probability

Dynamo Dresden

D W L W L W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 6:7 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.17

1. FC Magdeburg

W W W L L W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 11:8 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Dynamo Dresden win45.8%

Draw28.1%

1. FC Magdeburg win26.1%

Over 1.5 goals77.0%

Over 2.5 goals51.1%

Over 3.5 goals29.0%

Both teams to score55.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

90.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

90.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

89.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)75.0%

Home or Draw (1X)72.4%

Draw No Bet - Home63.2%

Both Halves Over 0.554.8%

Goal in Both Halves54.8%

Draw or Away (X2)52.6%

Home Win47.4%

Draw No Bet - Away36.8%

Away Win27.6%

Draw25.0%

Exactly 1 Goal17.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals94.2%

Over 0.5 Goals93.4%

Under 4.5 Goals86.0%

Over 1.5 Goals75.5%

Under 3.5 Goals71.0%

1-3 Goals64.4%

2-4 Goals61.5%

Over 2.5 Goals51.1%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 2.5 Goals48.9%

2-3 Goals46.5%

1-2 Goals42.3%

3-4 Goals37.1%

Over 3.5 Goals29.0%

4+ Goals29.0%

Under 1.5 Goals24.5%

Exactly 2 Goals24.4%

Exactly 3 Goals22.1%

Over 4.5 Goals14.0%

Under 0.5 Goals6.6%

Exactly 0 Goals6.6%

Over 5.5 Goals5.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score79.3%

Away Team to Score68.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)54.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)46.0%

Home Clean Sheet31.9%

Home Win to Nil25.3%

Away Clean Sheet20.7%

Away Win to Nil14.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.579.3%

Away Over 0.568.1%

Home Over 1.546.8%

Away Exactly 136.4%

Home Exactly 132.6%

Away Exactly 031.9%

Away Over 1.531.7%

Home Exactly 225.7%

Home Over 2.521.1%

Home 3+ Goals21.1%

Away Exactly 220.8%

Home Exactly 020.7%

Away Over 2.510.8%

Away 3+ Goals10.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)90.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away90.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)89.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home89.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)75.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away75.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)72.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home72.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)52.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away52.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)47.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)27.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)24.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home24.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.0%

Home to win by 123.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.7%

Away to win by 116.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.4%

Home to win by 214.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)10.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away10.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)10.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home10.0%

Home to win by 3+10.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.5%

Away to win by 27.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.4%

Away to win by 3+3.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.542.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.537.0%

Home & Over 2.528.8%

Home & No BTTS25.3%

Home & BTTS22.1%

Home & Under 2.518.6%

Draw & Under 2.518.5%

Draw & BTTS18.4%

Away & Over 2.515.8%

Away & No BTTS14.1%

Away & BTTS13.5%

BTTS & Under 2.511.9%

Away & Under 2.511.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.0%

Draw & Over 2.56.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.570.6%

HT Under 1.565.4%

2nd Half More Goals43.5%

HT Draw41.2%

HT Home Win35.6%

HT Over 1.534.6%

1st Half More Goals31.1%

HT Under 0.529.4%

HT/FT Home/Home28.8%

Equal Goals Each Half25.4%

HT Away Win23.3%

HT Both Teams Score20.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.0%

HT/FT Away/Away15.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw15.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Away/Home2.6%

HT/FT Home/Away1.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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