Germany · 2. Bundesliga

Dynamo Dresden vs SV Darmstadt 98

Kick-off 12:30 · Sun, Aug 16

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

65% confidence

Dynamo Dresden 65.3% Draw 20.2% SV Darmstadt 98 14.5%

Over 2.5 - 67% BTTS - 61%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9.6%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Dynamo Dresden: 6 points versus 2 across the last 4 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.6%

Exact-score model probability

Dynamo Dresden

L W L W

Form 2-0-2 Goals 4:6 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.5

SV Darmstadt 98

D L D L L L

Form 0-2-4 Goals 4:17 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 2.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Dynamo Dresden win65.3%

Draw20.2%

SV Darmstadt 98 win14.5%

Over 1.5 goals87.1%

Over 2.5 goals67.4%

Over 3.5 goals45.7%

Both teams to score61.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

90.8%

Home Over 0.5

90.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

88.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)84.4%

Home or Away (12)81.9%

Draw No Bet - Home81.0%

Both Halves Over 0.567.3%

Goal in Both Halves67.3%

Home Win66.3%

Draw or Away (X2)33.6%

Draw No Bet - Away19.0%

Draw18.1%

Away Win15.5%

Exactly 1 Goal10.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.8%

Under 5.5 Goals86.2%

Over 1.5 Goals86.0%

Under 4.5 Goals73.2%

Over 2.5 Goals67.3%

2-4 Goals59.2%

Under 3.5 Goals54.4%

1-3 Goals51.2%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals45.6%

4+ Goals45.6%

3-4 Goals40.5%

2-3 Goals40.4%

Under 2.5 Goals32.7%

1-2 Goals29.5%

Over 4.5 Goals26.8%

Exactly 3 Goals21.7%

Exactly 2 Goals18.7%

Under 1.5 Goals14.0%

Over 5.5 Goals13.8%

Under 0.5 Goals3.2%

Exactly 0 Goals3.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score90.8%

Away Team to Score66.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)59.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)40.1%

Home Clean Sheet33.9%

Home Win to Nil30.8%

Away Clean Sheet9.1%

Away Win to Nil6.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.590.8%

Home Over 1.568.9%

Away Over 0.566.0%

Home Over 2.542.7%

Home 3+ Goals42.7%

Away Exactly 136.6%

Away Exactly 033.9%

Away Over 1.529.3%

Home Exactly 226.2%

Home Exactly 121.9%

Away Exactly 219.8%

Away Over 2.59.6%

Away 3+ Goals9.6%

Home Exactly 09.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)88.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away88.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)84.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home84.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)75.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away75.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)66.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)55.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away55.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)44.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home44.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)33.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away33.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)24.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home24.7%

Home to win by 3+24.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.2%

Home to win by 122.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.5%

Home to win by 219.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)15.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)11.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home11.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.0%

Away to win by 110.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.0%

Away to win by 24.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.6%

Away to win by 3+1.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.551.9%

Home & Over 2.550.0%

Home & BTTS35.5%

Home & No BTTS30.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.524.6%

Home & Under 2.516.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.515.4%

Draw & BTTS15.0%

Draw & Under 2.511.1%

Away & Over 2.510.4%

Away & BTTS9.5%

BTTS & Under 2.58.0%

Draw & Over 2.56.9%

Away & No BTTS6.0%

Away & Under 2.55.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.579.0%

HT Under 1.553.7%

HT Home Win50.0%

HT Over 1.546.3%

2nd Half More Goals46.1%

HT/FT Home/Home44.5%

HT Draw33.5%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Both Teams Score25.4%

Equal Goals Each Half22.1%

HT Under 0.521.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.2%

HT Away Win16.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.7%

HT/FT Away/Away8.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Away/Home3.7%

HT/FT Home/Away1.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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