Russia · Premier League

Dynamo vs Akhmat

Kick-off 15:30 · Sat, Oct 31

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

54% confidence

Dynamo 53.6% Draw 30.1% Akhmat 16.3%

Over 2.5 - 36% BTTS - 40%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

84%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

61%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 17.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Dynamo: 10 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

17.1%

Exact-score model probability

Dynamo

L W L D W W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 8:8 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.33

Akhmat

D L D L D D

Form 0-4-2 Goals 4:6 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Dynamo win53.6%

Draw30.1%

Akhmat win16.3%

Over 1.5 goals64.3%

Over 2.5 goals35.8%

Over 3.5 goals16.7%

Both teams to score39.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

89.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

89.0%

Over 0.5 Goals

88.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)82.1%

Draw No Bet - Home75.5%

Home or Away (12)73.0%

Home Win55.1%

Draw or Away (X2)44.9%

Both Halves Over 0.542.5%

Goal in Both Halves42.5%

Draw27.0%

Exactly 1 Goal25.3%

Draw No Bet - Away24.5%

Away Win17.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals97.8%

Under 4.5 Goals93.5%

Over 0.5 Goals88.1%

Under 3.5 Goals83.3%

1-3 Goals71.4%

Under 2.5 Goals64.2%

Over 1.5 Goals62.8%

2-4 Goals56.3%

1-2 Goals52.3%

Total Goals Even50.7%

Total Goals Odd49.3%

2-3 Goals46.1%

Under 1.5 Goals37.2%

Over 2.5 Goals35.8%

3-4 Goals29.3%

Exactly 2 Goals27.0%

Exactly 3 Goals19.1%

Over 3.5 Goals16.7%

4+ Goals16.7%

Under 0.5 Goals11.9%

Exactly 0 Goals11.9%

Over 4.5 Goals6.5%

Over 5.5 Goals2.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score76.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)62.0%

Home Clean Sheet50.2%

Away Team to Score49.8%

Home Win to Nil38.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)38.0%

Away Clean Sheet23.7%

Away Win to Nil11.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.576.3%

Away Exactly 050.2%

Away Over 0.549.8%

Home Over 1.542.1%

Away Exactly 134.6%

Home Exactly 134.1%

Home Exactly 224.5%

Home Exactly 023.7%

Home Over 2.517.6%

Home 3+ Goals17.6%

Away Over 1.515.2%

Away Exactly 211.9%

Away Over 2.53.3%

Away 3+ Goals3.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)89.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away89.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)82.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home82.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)72.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away72.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)55.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)44.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away44.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)27.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home27.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw27.1%

Home to win by 127.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)17.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.9%

Home to win by 216.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.0%

Away to win by 113.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)11.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home11.0%

Home to win by 3+11.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.9%

Away to win by 23.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.0%

Away to win by 3+1.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.552.4%

Home & No BTTS38.2%

Home & Under 2.529.4%

BTTS & Over 2.526.2%

Home & Over 2.525.7%

Draw & Under 2.523.7%

Home & BTTS16.8%

Draw & BTTS15.1%

Away & No BTTS11.8%

BTTS & Under 2.511.8%

Away & Under 2.511.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.6%

Away & Over 2.56.9%

Away & BTTS6.1%

Draw & Over 2.53.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.575.1%

HT Over 0.561.6%

HT Draw46.5%

2nd Half More Goals40.7%

HT Under 0.538.4%

HT Home Win38.2%

HT/FT Home/Home33.4%

1st Half More Goals29.8%

Equal Goals Each Half29.5%

HT Over 1.524.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw19.1%

HT Away Win15.4%

HT Both Teams Score12.7%

HT/FT Away/Away9.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Away/Home1.9%

HT/FT Home/Away0.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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