Russia · Premier League

Dynamo vs CSKA Moscow

Kick-off 14:15 · Sun, Oct 18

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

46% confidence

Dynamo 46.3% Draw 26.3% CSKA Moscow 27.4%

Over 2.5 - 59% BTTS - 62%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

82%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

74%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

62%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to CSKA Moscow: 10 points versus 14 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.8%

Exact-score model probability

Dynamo

L W L D W W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 8:8 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.33

CSKA Moscow

W D D W W W

Form 4-2-0 Goals 9:4 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Dynamo win46.3%

Draw26.3%

CSKA Moscow win27.4%

Over 1.5 goals82.2%

Over 2.5 goals58.7%

Over 3.5 goals36.3%

Both teams to score61.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

91.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

88.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

88.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)76.5%

Home or Draw (1X)71.2%

Draw No Bet - Home62.3%

Both Halves Over 0.560.7%

Goal in Both Halves60.7%

Draw or Away (X2)52.3%

Home Win47.7%

Draw No Bet - Away37.7%

Away Win28.8%

Draw23.5%

Exactly 1 Goal14.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.2%

Under 5.5 Goals91.1%

Over 1.5 Goals80.8%

Under 4.5 Goals80.7%

Under 3.5 Goals63.7%

2-4 Goals61.5%

1-3 Goals58.9%

Over 2.5 Goals58.7%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals44.4%

Under 2.5 Goals41.3%

3-4 Goals39.5%

1-2 Goals36.5%

Over 3.5 Goals36.3%

4+ Goals36.3%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals22.1%

Over 4.5 Goals19.3%

Under 1.5 Goals19.2%

Over 5.5 Goals8.9%

Under 0.5 Goals4.8%

Exactly 0 Goals4.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score82.5%

Away Team to Score72.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)60.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)39.9%

Home Clean Sheet27.1%

Home Win to Nil22.3%

Away Clean Sheet17.5%

Away Win to Nil12.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.582.5%

Away Over 0.572.9%

Home Over 1.551.9%

Away Over 1.537.5%

Away Exactly 135.4%

Home Exactly 130.5%

Away Exactly 027.1%

Home Exactly 226.6%

Home Over 2.525.4%

Home 3+ Goals25.4%

Away Exactly 223.1%

Home Exactly 017.5%

Away Over 2.514.4%

Away 3+ Goals14.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)88.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away88.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)87.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home87.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)74.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away74.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)71.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home71.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)52.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away52.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)47.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)28.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)25.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home25.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.0%

Home to win by 122.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.5%

Away to win by 116.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.5%

Home to win by 214.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)12.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away12.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)11.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home11.2%

Home to win by 3+11.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.1%

Away to win by 28.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.2%

Away to win by 3+4.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.549.3%

Home & Over 2.532.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.530.5%

Home & BTTS25.3%

Home & No BTTS22.3%

Draw & BTTS18.7%

Away & Over 2.518.6%

Away & BTTS16.0%

Draw & Under 2.515.6%

Home & Under 2.515.5%

Away & No BTTS12.8%

BTTS & Under 2.510.8%

Away & Under 2.510.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.4%

Draw & Over 2.57.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.574.6%

HT Under 1.560.2%

2nd Half More Goals44.7%

HT Over 1.539.8%

HT Draw38.5%

HT Home Win36.7%

1st Half More Goals31.5%

HT/FT Home/Home29.4%

HT Under 0.525.4%

HT Away Win24.8%

HT Both Teams Score24.1%

Equal Goals Each Half23.8%

HT/FT Away/Away16.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw13.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Away/Home3.0%

HT/FT Home/Away2.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions