Russia · Premier League

Dynamo vs FC Orenburg

Kick-off 16:30 · Sat, Sep 12

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

84% confidence

Dynamo 84.3% Draw 11.0% FC Orenburg 4.7%

Over 2.5 - 76% BTTS - 51%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

91%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

84%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-0 at 10.5%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Dynamo: 10 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.5%

Exact-score model probability

Dynamo

L W L D W W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 8:8 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.33

FC Orenburg

D D D L W L

Form 1-3-2 Goals 5:10 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Dynamo win84.3%

Draw11.0%

FC Orenburg win4.7%

Over 1.5 goals91.4%

Over 2.5 goals76.2%

Over 3.5 goals56.6%

Both teams to score51.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

90.3%

Home or Away (12)

89.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

84.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)94.2%

Draw No Bet - Home94.2%

Home or Away (12)89.5%

Home Win84.3%

Both Halves Over 0.574.3%

Goal in Both Halves74.3%

Draw or Away (X2)15.0%

Draw9.8%

Exactly 1 Goal7.3%

Draw No Bet - Away5.8%

Away Win5.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.5%

Over 1.5 Goals90.3%

Under 5.5 Goals79.0%

Over 2.5 Goals75.7%

Under 4.5 Goals63.3%

Over 3.5 Goals56.2%

4+ Goals56.2%

2-4 Goals53.6%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Under 3.5 Goals43.8%

1-3 Goals41.3%

3-4 Goals39.0%

Over 4.5 Goals36.7%

2-3 Goals34.1%

Under 2.5 Goals24.3%

1-2 Goals21.8%

Over 5.5 Goals21.0%

Exactly 3 Goals19.5%

Exactly 2 Goals14.6%

Under 1.5 Goals9.7%

Under 0.5 Goals2.5%

Exactly 0 Goals1.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.5%

Away Team to Score52.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)50.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)49.6%

Home Clean Sheet46.9%

Home Win to Nil45.1%

Away Clean Sheet3.8%

Away Win to Nil2.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.5%

Home Over 1.583.0%

Home Over 2.562.6%

Home 3+ Goals62.6%

Away Over 0.552.4%

Away Exactly 046.9%

Away Exactly 135.2%

Home Exactly 220.4%

Away Over 1.517.2%

Away Exactly 213.2%

Home Exactly 112.5%

Away Over 2.54.0%

Away 3+ Goals4.0%

Home Exactly 03.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home98.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)94.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home94.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)92.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)84.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away84.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)84.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)70.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away70.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)67.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home67.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)52.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away52.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)47.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home47.3%

Home to win by 3+47.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)31.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away31.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)28.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home28.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.3%

Home to win by 220.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw18.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.8%

Home to win by 116.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)15.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away15.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)14.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home14.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw13.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw8.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)6.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home6.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)5.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw3.9%

Away to win by 13.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.1%

Away to win by 21.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.3%

Away to win by 3+0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.568.8%

BTTS & Over 2.546.0%

Home & No BTTS45.1%

Home & BTTS39.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.529.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.519.2%

Home & Under 2.515.5%

Draw & BTTS8.0%

Draw & Under 2.56.2%

BTTS & Under 2.54.4%

Draw & Over 2.53.6%

Away & Over 2.53.3%

Away & BTTS3.2%

Away & No BTTS2.0%

Away & Under 2.51.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.583.5%

HT Home Win66.1%

HT/FT Home/Home63.4%

HT Over 1.553.9%

2nd Half More Goals47.5%

HT Under 1.546.1%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw25.7%

HT Both Teams Score22.0%

Equal Goals Each Half20.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.3%

HT Under 0.516.5%

HT Away Win8.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home3.3%

HT/FT Away/Away2.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.0%

HT/FT Home/Away0.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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