Russia · Premier League

Dynamo vs Spartak Moscow

Kick-off 16:30 · Sun, Sep 6

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

47% confidence

Dynamo 47.0% Draw 26.4% Spartak Moscow 26.6%

Over 2.5 - 58% BTTS - 61%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

82%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

74%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

61%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Spartak Moscow: 10 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.9%

Exact-score model probability

Dynamo

L W L D W W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 8:8 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.33

Spartak Moscow

D W L W W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 9:5 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Dynamo win47.0%

Draw26.4%

Spartak Moscow win26.6%

Over 1.5 goals81.7%

Over 2.5 goals57.9%

Over 3.5 goals35.5%

Both teams to score60.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

91.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

88.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

88.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)76.5%

Home or Draw (1X)72.0%

Draw No Bet - Home63.4%

Both Halves Over 0.560.1%

Goal in Both Halves60.1%

Draw or Away (X2)51.5%

Home Win48.5%

Draw No Bet - Away36.6%

Away Win28.0%

Draw23.5%

Exactly 1 Goal14.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.1%

Under 5.5 Goals91.5%

Under 4.5 Goals81.3%

Over 1.5 Goals80.3%

Under 3.5 Goals64.5%

2-4 Goals61.6%

1-3 Goals59.5%

Over 2.5 Goals57.9%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals44.7%

Under 2.5 Goals42.1%

3-4 Goals39.3%

1-2 Goals37.1%

Over 3.5 Goals35.5%

4+ Goals35.5%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals22.3%

Under 1.5 Goals19.7%

Over 4.5 Goals18.7%

Over 5.5 Goals8.5%

Under 0.5 Goals4.9%

Exactly 0 Goals4.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score82.5%

Away Team to Score71.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)59.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)40.7%

Home Clean Sheet28.1%

Home Win to Nil23.1%

Away Clean Sheet17.5%

Away Win to Nil12.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.582.5%

Away Over 0.571.9%

Home Over 1.551.9%

Away Over 1.536.3%

Away Exactly 135.7%

Home Exactly 130.5%

Away Exactly 028.1%

Home Exactly 226.6%

Home Over 2.525.4%

Home 3+ Goals25.4%

Away Exactly 222.7%

Home Exactly 017.5%

Away Over 2.513.6%

Away 3+ Goals13.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)88.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away88.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)73.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away73.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)72.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home72.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)51.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away51.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)48.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)28.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)26.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home26.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.3%

Home to win by 122.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.2%

Away to win by 116.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.7%

Home to win by 214.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)11.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home11.5%

Home to win by 3+11.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.8%

Away to win by 27.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.9%

Away to win by 3+3.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.548.4%

Home & Over 2.532.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.531.2%

Home & BTTS25.3%

Home & No BTTS23.1%

Draw & BTTS18.6%

Away & Over 2.517.8%

Home & Under 2.516.0%

Draw & Under 2.515.8%

Away & BTTS15.4%

Away & No BTTS12.6%

BTTS & Under 2.510.9%

Away & Under 2.510.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.5%

Draw & Over 2.57.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.574.2%

HT Under 1.560.7%

2nd Half More Goals44.6%

HT Over 1.539.3%

HT Draw38.7%

HT Home Win37.1%

1st Half More Goals31.4%

HT/FT Home/Home29.9%

HT Under 0.525.8%

HT Away Win24.2%

Equal Goals Each Half24.0%

HT Both Teams Score23.7%

HT/FT Away/Away16.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw13.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Away/Home3.0%

HT/FT Home/Away2.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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