England · FA Cup

Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury

Kick-off 16:00 · Sat, Nov 7

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

87% confidence

Eastleigh 86.8% Draw 10.1% Shrewsbury 3.1%

Over 2.5 - 72% BTTS - 41%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

89%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

87%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-0 at 12.9%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.9%

Exact-score model probability

Eastleigh

No recent results stored yet

Shrewsbury

L D

Form 0-1-1 Goals 1:5 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 2.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Eastleigh win86.8%

Draw10.1%

Shrewsbury win3.1%

Over 1.5 goals89.0%

Over 2.5 goals71.5%

Over 3.5 goals50.6%

Both teams to score41.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Away (12)

90.5%

Over 1.5 Goals

88.0%

Home Win

86.9%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home96.0%

Home or Draw (1X)95.8%

Home or Away (12)90.5%

Home Win86.9%

Both Halves Over 0.570.6%

Goal in Both Halves70.6%

Draw or Away (X2)12.6%

Exactly 1 Goal9.1%

Draw8.9%

Draw No Bet - Away4.0%

Away Win3.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.0%

Over 1.5 Goals88.0%

Under 5.5 Goals83.4%

Over 2.5 Goals71.1%

Under 4.5 Goals69.0%

2-4 Goals57.0%

Over 3.5 Goals50.3%

4+ Goals50.3%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Under 3.5 Goals49.7%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

1-3 Goals46.7%

3-4 Goals40.1%

2-3 Goals37.7%

Over 4.5 Goals31.0%

Under 2.5 Goals28.9%

1-2 Goals25.9%

Exactly 3 Goals20.8%

Exactly 2 Goals16.8%

Over 5.5 Goals16.6%

Under 1.5 Goals12.0%

Under 0.5 Goals3.0%

Exactly 0 Goals2.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)59.7%

Home Clean Sheet57.4%

Home Win to Nil54.9%

Away Team to Score42.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)40.3%

Away Clean Sheet4.2%

Away Win to Nil1.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.2%

Home Over 1.581.8%

Home Over 2.560.7%

Home 3+ Goals60.7%

Away Exactly 057.4%

Away Over 0.542.1%

Away Exactly 131.6%

Home Exactly 221.2%

Home Exactly 113.4%

Away Over 1.510.5%

Away Exactly 28.7%

Home Exactly 04.2%

Away Over 2.51.8%

Away 3+ Goals1.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home98.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home95.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)92.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)86.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)84.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away84.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)70.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home70.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)69.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away69.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)50.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away50.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)49.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home49.2%

Home to win by 3+49.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)29.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home29.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)29.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away29.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw21.0%

Home to win by 221.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw19.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.7%

Home to win by 116.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)15.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home15.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw14.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)12.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away12.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw8.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)6.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home6.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw2.9%

Away to win by 12.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.6%

Away to win by 20.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%

Away to win by 3+0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.566.9%

Home & No BTTS54.9%

BTTS & Over 2.536.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.535.1%

Home & BTTS31.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.524.1%

Home & Under 2.519.9%

Draw & Under 2.56.7%

Draw & BTTS6.5%

BTTS & Under 2.54.2%

Draw & Over 2.52.2%

Away & Over 2.51.9%

Away & BTTS1.9%

Away & No BTTS1.8%

Away & Under 2.51.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.581.2%

HT Home Win67.7%

HT/FT Home/Home65.7%

HT Under 1.550.3%

HT Over 1.549.7%

2nd Half More Goals46.8%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Draw26.1%

Equal Goals Each Half21.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.1%

HT Under 0.518.8%

HT Both Teams Score16.6%

HT Away Win6.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home2.6%

HT/FT Away/Away1.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.5%

HT/FT Home/Away0.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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