UEFA Europa Conference League

Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland

Kick-off 17:45 · Thu, Oct 15

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

68% confidence

Egnatia Rrogozhinë 67.6% Draw 15.0% FC Midtjylland 17.4%

Over 2.5 - 90% BTTS - 83%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

85%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

83%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 6.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to FC Midtjylland: 7 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.40 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.2%

Exact-score model probability

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

D D W L D D

Form 1-4-1 Goals 12:10 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.67

FC Midtjylland

W W W L L

Form 3-0-2 Goals 7:5 Scored/game 1.4 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Egnatia Rrogozhinë win67.6%

Draw15.0%

FC Midtjylland win17.4%

Over 1.5 goals97.5%

Over 2.5 goals90.4%

Over 3.5 goals78.4%

Both teams to score82.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

91.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

90.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

90.7%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.586.5%

Goal in Both Halves86.5%

Home or Away (12)84.9%

Home or Draw (1X)81.4%

Draw No Bet - Home79.3%

Home Win67.3%

Draw or Away (X2)31.7%

Draw No Bet - Away20.7%

Away Win17.6%

Draw14.1%

Exactly 1 Goal2.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.5%

Over 1.5 Goals96.1%

Over 2.5 Goals89.5%

Over 3.5 Goals77.6%

4+ Goals77.6%

Over 4.5 Goals61.6%

Under 5.5 Goals55.7%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

Total Goals Even49.5%

Over 5.5 Goals44.3%

Under 4.5 Goals38.4%

2-4 Goals34.5%

3-4 Goals27.9%

Under 3.5 Goals22.4%

1-3 Goals20.9%

2-3 Goals18.5%

Exactly 3 Goals11.9%

Under 2.5 Goals10.5%

1-2 Goals9.0%

Exactly 2 Goals6.6%

Under 1.5 Goals3.9%

Under 0.5 Goals1.5%

Exactly 0 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.0%

Away Team to Score84.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)81.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)18.5%

Home Clean Sheet15.0%

Home Win to Nil14.5%

Away Clean Sheet3.0%

Away Win to Nil2.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.0%

Home Over 1.585.5%

Away Over 0.584.0%

Home Over 2.567.0%

Home 3+ Goals67.0%

Away Over 1.555.8%

Away Over 2.529.0%

Away 3+ Goals29.0%

Away Exactly 128.3%

Away Exactly 226.7%

Home Exactly 218.4%

Away Exactly 015.0%

Home Exactly 110.5%

Home Exactly 03.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)94.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)90.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home90.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)89.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away89.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)81.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home81.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)79.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away79.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)67.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)65.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away65.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)50.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home50.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)48.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away48.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)33.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home33.1%

Home to win by 3+33.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)31.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away31.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)19.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home19.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)17.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.2%

Home to win by 117.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.1%

Home to win by 217.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)9.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home9.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.3%

Away to win by 19.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)8.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away8.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.0%

Away to win by 25.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.3%

Away to win by 3+3.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.578.5%

Home & Over 2.563.0%

Home & BTTS52.8%

Away & Over 2.515.9%

Away & BTTS15.0%

Home & No BTTS14.5%

Draw & BTTS13.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.0%

Draw & Over 2.510.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.56.5%

Home & Under 2.54.4%

Draw & Under 2.53.5%

BTTS & Under 2.53.0%

Away & No BTTS2.5%

Away & Under 2.51.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.591.2%

HT Over 1.569.8%

HT Home Win54.5%

2nd Half More Goals50.4%

HT/FT Home/Home48.0%

HT Both Teams Score45.5%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.530.2%

HT Draw25.3%

HT Away Win20.2%

Equal Goals Each Half17.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.7%

HT/FT Away/Away10.3%

HT Under 0.58.8%

HT/FT Away/Home5.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Home/Away2.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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