UEFA Europa League

Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Shamrock Rovers

Kick-off 20:00 · Thu, Aug 13

📊 Our Prediction

HT Over 0.5

45% confidence

Egnatia Rrogozhinë 44.9% Draw 15.0% Shamrock Rovers 40.1%

Over 2.5 - 99% BTTS - 97%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is Egnatia Rrogozhinë win at 44.9%.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Shamrock Rovers: 6 points versus 9 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.60 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this HT Over 0.5

Egnatia Rrogozhinë win

44.9%

1X2 model probability

Draw

15%

1X2 model probability

Shamrock Rovers win

40.1%

1X2 model probability

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

L D D W D

Form 1-3-1 Goals 13:10 Scored/game 2.6 Conceded/game 2

Shamrock Rovers

W W L W L

Form 3-0-2 Goals 10:7 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.4

Head to head · last 1

Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0wins ·0 draws ·Shamrock Rovers 1wins

Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1-3 Shamrock RoversAug 4, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Egnatia Rrogozhinë win44.9%

Draw15.0%

Shamrock Rovers win40.1%

Over 1.5 goals99.8%

Over 2.5 goals98.8%

Over 3.5 goals96.1%

Both teams to score96.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Teams Score (GG)

91.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

91.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home

91.7%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.596.4%

Goal in Both Halves96.4%

Home or Away (12)81.1%

Home or Draw (1X)56.9%

Draw No Bet - Home52.8%

Draw or Away (X2)52.4%

Draw No Bet - Away47.2%

Home Win42.8%

Away Win38.3%

Draw14.1%

Exactly 1 Goal0.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.2%

Over 1.5 Goals94.9%

Over 2.5 Goals94.0%

Over 3.5 Goals91.4%

4+ Goals91.4%

Over 4.5 Goals86.2%

Over 5.5 Goals77.7%

Total Goals Odd47.6%

Total Goals Even47.6%

Under 5.5 Goals22.3%

Under 4.5 Goals13.8%

2-4 Goals8.7%

Under 3.5 Goals8.6%

3-4 Goals7.8%

Under 2.5 Goals6.0%

Under 1.5 Goals5.1%

Under 0.5 Goals4.8%

1-3 Goals3.7%

2-3 Goals3.5%

Exactly 3 Goals2.5%

1-2 Goals1.2%

Exactly 2 Goals0.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.7%

Away Team to Score93.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)91.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)8.1%

Home Clean Sheet1.8%

Home Win to Nil1.8%

Away Clean Sheet1.5%

Away Win to Nil1.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.7%

Away Over 0.593.4%

Home Over 1.587.5%

Away Over 1.586.3%

Home Over 2.574.4%

Home 3+ Goals74.4%

Away Over 2.572.0%

Away 3+ Goals72.0%

Away Exactly 214.3%

Home Exactly 213.0%

Away Exactly 17.1%

Home Exactly 16.2%

Away Exactly 01.8%

Home Exactly 01.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)93.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)93.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)91.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home91.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)90.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away90.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)87.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home87.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)85.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away85.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)80.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home80.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)77.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away77.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)69.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home69.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)65.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away65.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)56.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home56.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)52.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away52.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)42.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)38.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)29.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home29.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)25.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away25.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)18.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home18.0%

Home to win by 3+18.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)15.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away15.1%

Away to win by 3+15.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.5%

Home to win by 113.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.9%

Away to win by 112.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.3%

Home to win by 211.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.3%

Away to win by 210.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)9.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home9.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)7.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away7.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.591.5%

Home & Over 2.542.4%

Home & BTTS41.0%

Away & Over 2.537.9%

Away & BTTS36.8%

Draw & BTTS14.1%

Draw & Over 2.513.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.52.5%

Home & No BTTS1.8%

Away & No BTTS1.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.50.7%

Draw & Under 2.50.5%

BTTS & Under 2.50.5%

Home & Under 2.50.4%

Away & Under 2.50.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.597.5%

HT Over 1.588.2%

HT Both Teams Score70.8%

2nd Half More Goals54.2%

HT Home Win40.8%

HT Away Win37.5%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT/FT Home/Home30.2%

HT/FT Away/Away26.4%

HT Draw21.6%

Equal Goals Each Half13.6%

HT Under 1.511.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.3%

HT/FT Away/Home6.1%

HT/FT Home/Away5.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.2%

HT Under 0.52.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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