Germany · Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln

Kick-off 19:30 · Fri, Oct 16

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

59% confidence

Eintracht Frankfurt 59.1% Draw 20.4% 1. FC Köln 20.5%

Over 2.5 - 98% BTTS - 95%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

88%

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-2 at 5.1%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to 1. FC Köln: 6 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.1%

Exact-score model probability

Eintracht Frankfurt

L D W L D D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 11:18 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 3

1. FC Köln

W L D L W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 9:15 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2.5

Head to head · last 5

Eintracht Frankfurt 1wins ·2 draws ·1. FC Köln 2wins

Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 1. FC KölnApr 5, 2026

Eintracht Frankfurt 4-3 1. FC KölnNov 22, 2025

Eintracht Frankfurt 0-2 1. FC KölnFeb 3, 2024

Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 1. FC KölnSep 3, 2023

Eintracht Frankfurt 0-3 1. FC KölnFeb 12, 2023

📈 Probability Breakdown

Eintracht Frankfurt win59.1%

Draw20.4%

1. FC Köln win20.5%

Over 1.5 goals88.4%

Over 2.5 goals98.3%

Over 3.5 goals49.5%

Both teams to score95.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Halves Over 0.5

90.9%

Goal in Both Halves

90.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)

90.1%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.590.9%

Goal in Both Halves90.9%

Home or Away (12)82.8%

Home or Draw (1X)64.0%

Draw No Bet - Home57.7%

Draw or Away (X2)51.1%

Home Win47.8%

Draw No Bet - Away42.3%

Away Win35.0%

Draw16.1%

Exactly 1 Goal1.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.8%

Over 1.5 Goals97.5%

Over 2.5 Goals93.7%

Over 3.5 Goals85.7%

4+ Goals85.7%

Over 4.5 Goals73.4%

Over 5.5 Goals57.9%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

Total Goals Even49.5%

Under 5.5 Goals42.1%

Under 4.5 Goals26.6%

2-4 Goals24.2%

3-4 Goals20.3%

Under 3.5 Goals14.3%

1-3 Goals13.0%

2-3 Goals11.8%

Exactly 3 Goals8.0%

Under 2.5 Goals6.3%

1-2 Goals5.1%

Exactly 2 Goals3.8%

Under 1.5 Goals2.5%

Under 0.5 Goals1.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.4%

Away Team to Score93.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)90.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)9.9%

Home Clean Sheet5.5%

Home Win to Nil5.3%

Away Clean Sheet3.6%

Away Win to Nil3.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.4%

Away Over 0.593.5%

Home Over 1.583.5%

Away Over 1.577.7%

Home Over 2.563.6%

Home 3+ Goals63.6%

Away Over 2.554.7%

Away 3+ Goals54.7%

Away Exactly 223.0%

Home Exactly 219.8%

Away Exactly 115.8%

Home Exactly 111.9%

Away Exactly 05.5%

Home Exactly 03.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)93.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home93.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)89.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away89.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)87.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home87.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)80.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away80.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)77.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home77.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)66.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away66.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)64.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home64.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)51.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away51.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)47.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)35.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)32.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home32.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)21.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away21.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)19.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home19.0%

Home to win by 3+19.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.8%

Home to win by 115.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.8%

Away to win by 113.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.0%

Home to win by 213.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)11.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away11.3%

Away to win by 3+11.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)9.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home9.9%

Away to win by 29.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away5.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.7%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.588.2%

Home & Over 2.546.1%

Home & BTTS42.6%

Away & Over 2.533.6%

Away & BTTS31.6%

Draw & BTTS15.9%

Draw & Over 2.514.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.55.5%

Home & No BTTS5.3%

Away & No BTTS3.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.53.4%

Draw & Under 2.52.1%

BTTS & Under 2.51.9%

Home & Under 2.51.8%

Away & Under 2.51.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.593.9%

HT Over 1.576.9%

HT Both Teams Score56.6%

2nd Half More Goals51.7%

HT Home Win41.8%

HT Away Win33.1%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT/FT Home/Home32.0%

HT Draw25.1%

HT Under 1.523.1%

HT/FT Away/Away22.3%

Equal Goals Each Half15.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.5%

HT Under 0.56.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.6%

HT/FT Away/Home5.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Away4.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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