Spain · La Liga

Elche vs Valencia

Kick-off 18:30 · Sun, Nov 1

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

51% confidence

Elche 51.4% Draw 26.2% Valencia 22.4%

Over 2.5 - 48% BTTS - 78%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

78%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

78%

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 9.1%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Elche: 9 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Elche 1 wins, 2 draws, Valencia 2 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.1%

Exact-score model probability

Elche

W D D W L D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 9:5 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.83

Valencia

L D D L W L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 6:8 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 5

Elche 1wins ·2 draws ·Valencia 2wins

Elche 1-0 ValenciaApr 11, 2026

Elche 1-1 ValenciaJan 10, 2026

Elche 0-2 ValenciaApr 23, 2023

Elche 2-2 ValenciaOct 15, 2022

Elche 0-1 ValenciaMar 19, 2022

📈 Probability Breakdown

Elche win51.4%

Draw26.2%

Valencia win22.4%

Over 1.5 goals74.1%

Over 2.5 goals48.4%

Over 3.5 goals26.6%

Both teams to score78.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

89.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

89.8%

Over 1.5 Goals

86.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)77.9%

Both Halves Over 0.568.1%

Goal in Both Halves68.1%

Draw or Away (X2)64.6%

Home or Draw (1X)57.5%

Draw No Bet - Away54.5%

Draw No Bet - Home45.5%

Away Win42.5%

Home Win35.4%

Draw22.1%

Exactly 1 Goal10.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.0%

Over 1.5 Goals86.7%

Under 5.5 Goals85.4%

Under 4.5 Goals72.1%

Over 2.5 Goals68.4%

2-4 Goals58.7%

Under 3.5 Goals53.1%

1-3 Goals50.2%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals46.9%

4+ Goals46.9%

3-4 Goals40.4%

2-3 Goals39.8%

Under 2.5 Goals31.6%

1-2 Goals28.7%

Over 4.5 Goals27.9%

Exactly 3 Goals21.5%

Exactly 2 Goals18.3%

Over 5.5 Goals14.6%

Under 1.5 Goals13.3%

Under 0.5 Goals3.0%

Exactly 0 Goals2.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score84.2%

Home Team to Score81.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)68.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)31.5%

Away Clean Sheet18.7%

Away Win to Nil15.8%

Home Clean Sheet15.7%

Home Win to Nil12.8%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.584.2%

Home Over 0.581.3%

Away Over 1.555.1%

Home Over 1.549.9%

Home Exactly 131.4%

Away Exactly 129.1%

Away Over 2.528.2%

Away 3+ Goals28.2%

Away Exactly 226.9%

Home Exactly 226.3%

Home Over 2.523.6%

Home 3+ Goals23.6%

Home Exactly 018.7%

Away Exactly 015.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)92.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away92.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)89.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home89.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)82.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away82.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)77.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home77.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)64.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away64.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)57.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home57.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)42.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)35.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)22.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away22.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.6%

Away to win by 119.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)17.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home17.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.7%

Home to win by 117.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.7%

Away to win by 212.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.5%

Home to win by 210.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)10.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away10.2%

Away to win by 3+10.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home7.2%

Home to win by 3+7.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.559.4%

Away & Over 2.532.0%

Away & BTTS26.7%

Home & Over 2.526.3%

Home & BTTS22.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.522.5%

Draw & BTTS19.2%

Away & No BTTS15.8%

Home & No BTTS12.8%

Draw & Under 2.512.1%

Away & Under 2.510.5%

Draw & Over 2.510.0%

Home & Under 2.59.1%

BTTS & Under 2.59.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.579.5%

HT Under 1.552.9%

HT Over 1.547.1%

2nd Half More Goals46.2%

HT Draw35.5%

HT Away Win34.5%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Home Win30.0%

HT Both Teams Score29.9%

HT/FT Away/Away26.1%

Equal Goals Each Half21.9%

HT/FT Home/Home21.3%

HT Under 0.520.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Away3.3%

HT/FT Away/Home2.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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