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Italy · Serie B

Empoli vs Juve Stabia

Kick-off 15:00 · Sun, Nov 1
📊 Our Prediction
Home +5.5 (Handicap)
40% confidence
Empoli 39.5% Draw 30.1% Juve Stabia 30.4%
Over 2.5 - 46% BTTS - 53%
🎯 Best Pick
Under 4.5 Goals
Goal-line projection
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
89%
▸ Show 1 alternative
Home or Draw (1X)
Double chance from Poisson
70%
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 12.7%, based on the goal model.
Goal-line projection
Recent form leans to Empoli: 10 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.
Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)
Most likely score
1-1
Top Poisson scoreline
Scoreline probability
12.7%
Exact-score model probability
Empoli
D W L W W L
Form 3-1-2 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.17
Juve Stabia
L D W D L
Form 1-2-2 Goals 5:6 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Empoli win39.5%
Draw30.1%
Juve Stabia win30.4%
Over 1.5 goals73.2%
Over 2.5 goals45.9%
Over 3.5 goals24.5%
Both teams to score52.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals
91.9%
Under 4.5 Goals
89.0%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)
86.9%
Match Result (11)
Home or Away (12)73.2%
Home or Draw (1X)67.9%
Draw or Away (X2)58.8%
Draw No Bet - Home56.2%
Both Halves Over 0.550.7%
Goal in Both Halves50.7%
Draw No Bet - Away43.8%
Home Win41.2%
Away Win32.1%
Draw26.8%
Exactly 1 Goal20.4%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Under 5.5 Goals95.7%
Over 0.5 Goals91.9%
Under 4.5 Goals89.0%
Under 3.5 Goals75.5%
Over 1.5 Goals71.5%
1-3 Goals67.4%
2-4 Goals60.5%
Under 2.5 Goals54.1%
Total Goals Even50.3%
Total Goals Odd49.7%
2-3 Goals47.0%
1-2 Goals46.0%
Over 2.5 Goals45.9%
3-4 Goals34.9%
Under 1.5 Goals28.5%
Exactly 2 Goals25.6%
Over 3.5 Goals24.5%
4+ Goals24.5%
Exactly 3 Goals21.4%
Over 4.5 Goals11.0%
Under 0.5 Goals8.1%
Exactly 0 Goals8.1%
Over 5.5 Goals4.3%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Home Team to Score74.1%
Away Team to Score68.7%
Both Teams Score (GG)50.9%
No Both Teams Score (NG)49.1%
Home Clean Sheet31.3%
Away Clean Sheet25.9%
Home Win to Nil23.2%
Away Win to Nil17.8%
Team Goals (14)
Home Over 0.574.1%
Away Over 0.568.7%
Home Over 1.539.1%
Away Exactly 136.4%
Home Exactly 135.0%
Away Over 1.532.3%
Away Exactly 031.3%
Home Exactly 025.9%
Home Exactly 223.6%
Away Exactly 221.1%
Home Over 2.515.5%
Home 3+ Goals15.5%
Away Over 2.511.2%
Away 3+ Goals11.2%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%
Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%
Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.5%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.9%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.9%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.0%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.0%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.9%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.9%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.1%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.1%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)86.9%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home86.9%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)81.0%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away81.0%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)67.9%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home67.9%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)58.8%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away58.8%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)41.2%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)32.1%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.1%
Home to win by 122.1%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)19.0%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.0%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home19.0%
Away to win by 119.0%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)13.1%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away13.1%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.1%
Home to win by 212.1%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.9%
Away to win by 28.9%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.9%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.9%
Home to win by 3+6.9%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.9%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.1%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.1%
Away to win by 3+4.1%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.1%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.0%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.0%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.5%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.1%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.1%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.8%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.5%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%
Combos (15)
No BTTS & Under 2.541.4%
BTTS & Over 2.538.2%
Home & No BTTS23.2%
Home & Over 2.522.8%
Draw & Under 2.520.8%
Draw & BTTS18.7%
Home & Under 2.518.4%
Home & BTTS17.9%
Away & No BTTS17.8%
Away & Over 2.517.2%
Away & Under 2.514.9%
Away & BTTS14.3%
BTTS & Under 2.512.7%
No BTTS & Over 2.57.8%
Draw & Over 2.55.9%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Under 1.568.8%
HT Over 0.567.7%
HT Draw43.4%
2nd Half More Goals42.6%
HT Under 0.532.3%
HT Over 1.531.2%
HT Home Win31.1%
1st Half More Goals30.7%
Equal Goals Each Half26.7%
HT Away Win25.5%
HT/FT Home/Home24.3%
HT Both Teams Score18.5%
HT/FT Away/Away18.3%
HT/FT Draw/Draw16.7%
HT/FT Draw/Home14.7%
HT/FT Draw/Away12.0%
HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%
HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%
HT/FT Away/Home2.2%
HT/FT Home/Away1.8%
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
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