Germany · 2. Bundesliga

Energie Cottbus vs FC St. Pauli

Kick-off 12:30 · Sun, Sep 20

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

64% confidence

Energie Cottbus 63.5% Draw 16.4% FC St. Pauli 20.1%

Over 2.5 - 89% BTTS - 83%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

84%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

83%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 6.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.2%

Exact-score model probability

Energie Cottbus

L W

Form 1-0-1 Goals 3:4 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2

FC St. Pauli

L D D L L L

Form 0-2-4 Goals 7:12 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Energie Cottbus win63.5%

Draw16.4%

FC St. Pauli win20.1%

Over 1.5 goals97.0%

Over 2.5 goals88.9%

Over 3.5 goals75.8%

Both teams to score82.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

91.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

91.7%

HT Over 0.5

90.3%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.585.1%

Goal in Both Halves85.1%

Home or Away (12)84.0%

Home or Draw (1X)78.9%

Draw No Bet - Home75.7%

Home Win63.5%

Draw or Away (X2)35.8%

Draw No Bet - Away24.3%

Away Win20.4%

Draw15.4%

Exactly 1 Goal2.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.8%

Over 1.5 Goals95.9%

Over 2.5 Goals88.3%

Over 3.5 Goals75.3%

4+ Goals75.3%

Under 5.5 Goals59.1%

Over 4.5 Goals58.4%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Under 4.5 Goals41.6%

Over 5.5 Goals40.9%

2-4 Goals37.5%

3-4 Goals29.9%

Under 3.5 Goals24.7%

1-3 Goals23.5%

2-3 Goals20.6%

Exactly 3 Goals13.0%

Under 2.5 Goals11.7%

1-2 Goals10.5%

Exactly 2 Goals7.6%

Under 1.5 Goals4.1%

Under 0.5 Goals1.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.5%

Away Team to Score84.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)81.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)18.5%

Home Clean Sheet14.6%

Home Win to Nil14.0%

Away Clean Sheet3.8%

Away Win to Nil3.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.5%

Away Over 0.584.8%

Home Over 1.583.0%

Home Over 2.562.6%

Home 3+ Goals62.6%

Away Over 1.556.8%

Away Over 2.530.0%

Away 3+ Goals30.0%

Away Exactly 128.0%

Away Exactly 226.8%

Home Exactly 220.4%

Away Exactly 014.6%

Home Exactly 112.5%

Home Exactly 03.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)91.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away91.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)89.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home89.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)83.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away83.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)78.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home78.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)70.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away70.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)63.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)53.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away53.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)45.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home45.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)35.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away35.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)28.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home28.8%

Home to win by 3+28.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)20.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.9%

Home to win by 117.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.8%

Home to win by 216.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)15.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home15.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw12.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.5%

Away to win by 110.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)9.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away9.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)7.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home7.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.8%

Away to win by 25.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.1%

Away to win by 3+4.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.578.0%

Home & Over 2.558.7%

Home & BTTS49.5%

Away & Over 2.518.3%

Away & BTTS17.2%

Draw & BTTS14.8%

Home & No BTTS14.0%

Draw & Over 2.511.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.57.5%

Home & Under 2.54.8%

Draw & Under 2.54.1%

BTTS & Under 2.53.5%

Away & No BTTS3.3%

Away & Under 2.52.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.3%

HT Over 1.567.6%

HT Home Win51.3%

2nd Half More Goals50.0%

HT Both Teams Score44.5%

HT/FT Home/Home44.2%

HT Under 1.532.4%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw26.5%

HT Away Win22.2%

Equal Goals Each Half17.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.5%

HT/FT Away/Away12.1%

HT Under 0.59.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.9%

HT/FT Away/Home5.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Home/Away2.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions